Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 496.95
| MURGF Stock | USD 484.87 24.13 4.74% |
Mnchener |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Target Price Odds to finish below 496.95
The tendency of Mnchener Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 496.95 after 90 days |
| 484.87 | 90 days | 496.95 | about 89.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mnchener Rckversicherungs to stay under $ 496.95 after 90 days from now is about 89.02 (This Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Mnchener Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mnchener Rckversicherungs price to stay between its current price of $ 484.87 and $ 496.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mnchener Rckversicherungs has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mnchener Rckversicherungs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.0977, implying that it can generate a 0.0977 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mnchener Rckversicherungs Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mnchener Rckversicherungs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mnchener Rckversicherungs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mnchener Rckversicherungs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mnchener Rckversicherungs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mnchener Rckversicherungs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mnchener Rckversicherungs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mnchener Rckversicherungs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mnchener Rckversicherungs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft has accumulated 6.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Mnchener Rckversicherungs has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mnchener Rckversicherungs until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mnchener Rckversicherungs' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mnchener Rckversicherungs sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mnchener to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mnchener Rckversicherungs' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mnchener Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mnchener Rckversicherungs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mnchener Rckversicherungs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.2 B |
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Technical Analysis
Mnchener Rckversicherungs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mnchener Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mnchener Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mnchener Rckversicherungs Predictive Forecast Models
Mnchener Rckversicherungs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mnchener Rckversicherungs' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mnchener Rckversicherungs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mnchener Rckversicherungs
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mnchener Rckversicherungs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mnchener Rckversicherungs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft has accumulated 6.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Mnchener Rckversicherungs has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mnchener Rckversicherungs until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mnchener Rckversicherungs' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mnchener Rckversicherungs sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mnchener to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mnchener Rckversicherungs' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Mnchener Pink Sheet
Mnchener Rckversicherungs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mnchener Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mnchener with respect to the benefits of owning Mnchener Rckversicherungs security.