Moovly Media Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0002

MVVYF Stock  USD 0.01  0  18.33%   
Moovly Media's future price is the expected price of Moovly Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moovly Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moovly Media Backtesting, Moovly Media Valuation, Moovly Media Correlation, Moovly Media Hype Analysis, Moovly Media Volatility, Moovly Media History as well as Moovly Media Performance.
  
Please specify Moovly Media's target price for which you would like Moovly Media odds to be computed.

Moovly Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0002

The tendency of Moovly OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0002  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.0002 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moovly Media to drop to $ 0.0002  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Moovly Media probability density function shows the probability of Moovly OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moovly Media price to stay between $ 0.0002  and its current price of $0.0147 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Moovly Media has a beta of -2.36. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Moovly Media are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Moovly Media is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Moovly Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Moovly Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moovly Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moovly Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moovly Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0211.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0211.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0211.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.02
Details

Moovly Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moovly Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moovly Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moovly Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moovly Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-2.36
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Moovly Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moovly Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moovly Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moovly Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Moovly Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Moovly Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Moovly Media has accumulated 298.6 K in total debt. Moovly Media has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Moovly Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Moovly Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Moovly Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Moovly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Moovly Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 330.99 K.
Moovly Media has accumulated about 227.31 K in cash with (1.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moovly Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moovly OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moovly Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moovly Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding162.1 M

Moovly Media Technical Analysis

Moovly Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moovly OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moovly Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moovly OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moovly Media Predictive Forecast Models

Moovly Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moovly Media's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moovly Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moovly Media

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moovly Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moovly Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moovly Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Moovly Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Moovly Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Moovly Media has accumulated 298.6 K in total debt. Moovly Media has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Moovly Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Moovly Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Moovly Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Moovly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Moovly Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 330.99 K.
Moovly Media has accumulated about 227.31 K in cash with (1.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Moovly OTC Stock

Moovly Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moovly OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moovly with respect to the benefits of owning Moovly Media security.