Great West E Strategies Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.38

MXEBX Fund  USD 15.38  0.16  1.05%   
Great-west's future price is the expected price of Great-west instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great West E Strategies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Great-west Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Great-west Correlation, Great-west Hype Analysis, Great-west Volatility, Great-west History as well as Great-west Performance.
  
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Great-west Target Price Odds to finish over 15.38

The tendency of Great-west Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.38 90 days 15.38 
roughly 2.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great-west to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.61 (This Great West E Strategies probability density function shows the probability of Great-west Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great-west has a beta of 0.93. This indicates Great West E Strategies market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Great-west is expected to follow. Additionally Great West E Strategies has an alpha of 0.0436, implying that it can generate a 0.0436 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Great-west Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great-west

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great-west E Strategies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great-west's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7015.3816.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2215.9016.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7115.3916.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1415.2815.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Great-west. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Great-west's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Great-west's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Great-west E Strategies.

Great-west Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great-west is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great-west's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great West E Strategies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great-west within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.93
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Great-west Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great-west for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great-west E Strategies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 31.88% of its assets in cash

Great-west Technical Analysis

Great-west's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great-west Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great West E Strategies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great-west Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great-west Predictive Forecast Models

Great-west's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great-west's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great-west's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great-west E Strategies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great-west for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great-west E Strategies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 31.88% of its assets in cash
Check out Great-west Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Great-west Correlation, Great-west Hype Analysis, Great-west Volatility, Great-west History as well as Great-west Performance.
Note that the Great-west E Strategies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Great-west's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Complementary Tools for Great-west Mutual Fund analysis

When running Great-west's price analysis, check to measure Great-west's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great-west is operating at the current time. Most of Great-west's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great-west's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great-west's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great-west to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.