Nitori Holdings Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 20.43
| NCLTY Stock | USD 13.72 0.10 0.73% |
Nitori |
Nitori Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 20.43
The tendency of Nitori Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.43 or more in 90 days |
| 13.72 | 90 days | 20.43 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nitori Holdings to move over $ 20.43 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nitori Holdings Co probability density function shows the probability of Nitori Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nitori Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 13.72 and $ 20.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nitori Holdings has a beta of 0.34. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nitori Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nitori Holdings Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nitori Holdings Co has an alpha of 0.1347, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nitori Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nitori Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nitori Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nitori Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nitori Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nitori Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nitori Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nitori Holdings Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nitori Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Nitori Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nitori Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nitori Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nitori Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.9 M |
Nitori Holdings Technical Analysis
Nitori Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nitori Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nitori Holdings Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nitori Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nitori Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Nitori Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nitori Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nitori Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nitori Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nitori Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nitori Holdings options trading.
Check out Nitori Holdings Backtesting, Nitori Holdings Valuation, Nitori Holdings Correlation, Nitori Holdings Hype Analysis, Nitori Holdings Volatility, Nitori Holdings History as well as Nitori Holdings Performance. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Nitori Pink Sheet analysis
When running Nitori Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nitori Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nitori Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nitori Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nitori Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nitori Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nitori Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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