Natixis Oakmark Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 31.44

NEOYX Fund  USD 31.41  0.34  1.09%   
Natixis Oakmark's future price is the expected price of Natixis Oakmark instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Natixis Oakmark Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Natixis Oakmark Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Natixis Oakmark Correlation, Natixis Oakmark Hype Analysis, Natixis Oakmark Volatility, Natixis Oakmark History as well as Natixis Oakmark Performance.
  
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Natixis Oakmark Target Price Odds to finish below 31.44

The tendency of Natixis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 31.44  after 90 days
 31.41 90 days 31.44 
about 78.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natixis Oakmark to stay under $ 31.44  after 90 days from now is about 78.56 (This Natixis Oakmark Fund probability density function shows the probability of Natixis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Natixis Oakmark price to stay between its current price of $ 31.41  and $ 31.44  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Natixis Oakmark Fund has a beta of -0.0114. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Natixis Oakmark are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Natixis Oakmark Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Natixis Oakmark Fund has an alpha of 0.1207, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Natixis Oakmark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Natixis Oakmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natixis Oakmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natixis Oakmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6831.4132.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5731.3032.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natixis Oakmark. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natixis Oakmark's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natixis Oakmark's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Natixis Oakmark.

Natixis Oakmark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natixis Oakmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natixis Oakmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natixis Oakmark Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natixis Oakmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Natixis Oakmark Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natixis Oakmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natixis Oakmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.75% of its assets in stocks

Natixis Oakmark Technical Analysis

Natixis Oakmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natixis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natixis Oakmark Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natixis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Natixis Oakmark Predictive Forecast Models

Natixis Oakmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Natixis Oakmark's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Natixis Oakmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Natixis Oakmark

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natixis Oakmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Natixis Oakmark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.75% of its assets in stocks
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natixis Oakmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natixis Oakmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natixis Oakmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.