Columbia Greater China Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 69.75
| NGCAX Fund | USD 29.70 0.54 1.85% |
Columbia |
Columbia Greater Target Price Odds to finish over 69.75
The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 69.75 or more in 90 days |
| 29.70 | 90 days | 69.75 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Greater to move over $ 69.75 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Columbia Greater China probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Greater China price to stay between its current price of $ 29.70 and $ 69.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Greater has a beta of 0.8. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Columbia Greater average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Greater China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Greater China has an alpha of 0.026, implying that it can generate a 0.026 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Columbia Greater Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Greater
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Greater China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Greater's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Columbia Greater Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Greater is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Greater's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Greater China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Greater within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Columbia Greater Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Greater for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Greater China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Columbia Greater China generated five year return of -9.0% | |
| This fund maintains 98.74% of its assets in stocks |
Columbia Greater Technical Analysis
Columbia Greater's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Greater China. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Greater Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Greater's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Greater's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Greater's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Columbia Greater China
Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Greater for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Greater China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Columbia Greater China generated five year return of -9.0% | |
| This fund maintains 98.74% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Columbia Greater Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Greater Correlation, Columbia Greater Hype Analysis, Columbia Greater Volatility, Columbia Greater History as well as Columbia Greater Performance. Note that the Columbia Greater China information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Columbia Greater's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.