Nicolet Bankshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 93.8
| NIC Stock | USD 81.44 0.39 0.48% |
Nicolet |
Nicolet Bankshares Target Price Odds to finish over 93.8
The tendency of Nicolet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 93.80 or more in 90 days |
| 81.44 | 90 days | 93.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nicolet Bankshares to move over $ 93.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nicolet Bankshares probability density function shows the probability of Nicolet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nicolet Bankshares price to stay between its current price of $ 81.44 and $ 93.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.62 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nicolet Bankshares has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nicolet Bankshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nicolet Bankshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nicolet Bankshares has an alpha of 0.0913, implying that it can generate a 0.0913 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nicolet Bankshares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nicolet Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nicolet Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nicolet Bankshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nicolet Bankshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nicolet Bankshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nicolet Bankshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nicolet Bankshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nicolet Bankshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Nicolet Bankshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nicolet Bankshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nicolet Bankshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nicolet Agrees to Acquire Charter for 158 Million - Yahoo Singapore News |
Nicolet Bankshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nicolet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nicolet Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nicolet Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Nicolet Bankshares Technical Analysis
Nicolet Bankshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nicolet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nicolet Bankshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nicolet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nicolet Bankshares Predictive Forecast Models
Nicolet Bankshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nicolet Bankshares' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nicolet Bankshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nicolet Bankshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nicolet Bankshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nicolet Bankshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nicolet Agrees to Acquire Charter for 158 Million - Yahoo Singapore News |
Check out Nicolet Bankshares Backtesting, Nicolet Bankshares Valuation, Nicolet Bankshares Correlation, Nicolet Bankshares Hype Analysis, Nicolet Bankshares Volatility, Nicolet Bankshares History as well as Nicolet Bankshares Performance. For information on how to trade Nicolet Stock refer to our How to Trade Nicolet Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Nicolet Stock analysis
When running Nicolet Bankshares' price analysis, check to measure Nicolet Bankshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nicolet Bankshares is operating at the current time. Most of Nicolet Bankshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nicolet Bankshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nicolet Bankshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nicolet Bankshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nicolet Bankshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nicolet Bankshares. If investors know Nicolet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nicolet Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.107 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 6.51 | Revenue Per Share 21.776 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.563 |
The market value of Nicolet Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nicolet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nicolet Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nicolet Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nicolet Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nicolet Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nicolet Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nicolet Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nicolet Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.