Annaly Capital Management Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 28.27

NLY-PF Preferred Stock  USD 25.46  0.02  0.08%   
Annaly Capital's future price is the expected price of Annaly Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Annaly Capital Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Annaly Capital Backtesting, Annaly Capital Valuation, Annaly Capital Correlation, Annaly Capital Hype Analysis, Annaly Capital Volatility, Annaly Capital History as well as Annaly Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Annaly Capital's target price for which you would like Annaly Capital odds to be computed.

Annaly Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 28.27

The tendency of Annaly Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 28.27  or more in 90 days
 25.46 90 days 28.27 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Annaly Capital to move over $ 28.27  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Annaly Capital Management probability density function shows the probability of Annaly Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Annaly Capital Management price to stay between its current price of $ 25.46  and $ 28.27  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Annaly Capital Management has a beta of -0.0289. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Annaly Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Annaly Capital Management is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Annaly Capital Management has an alpha of 0.0511, implying that it can generate a 0.0511 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Annaly Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Annaly Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Annaly Capital Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Annaly Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.2125.4625.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9321.1828.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3125.5625.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8325.2125.59
Details

Annaly Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Annaly Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Annaly Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Annaly Capital Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Annaly Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Annaly Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Annaly Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Annaly Capital Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Annaly Capital Management has accumulated 8.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.58, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Annaly Capital Management has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Annaly Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Annaly Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Annaly Capital Management sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Annaly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Annaly Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Annaly Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Annaly Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Annaly Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Annaly Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding521.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Annaly Capital Technical Analysis

Annaly Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Annaly Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Annaly Capital Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Annaly Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Annaly Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Annaly Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Annaly Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Annaly Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Annaly Capital Management

Checking the ongoing alerts about Annaly Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Annaly Capital Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Annaly Capital Management has accumulated 8.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.58, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Annaly Capital Management has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Annaly Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Annaly Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Annaly Capital Management sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Annaly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Annaly Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Annaly Preferred Stock

Annaly Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Annaly Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Annaly with respect to the benefits of owning Annaly Capital security.