Nippon Electric Glass Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 21.48

NPEGF Stock  USD 21.48  0.00  0.00%   
Nippon Electric's future price is the expected price of Nippon Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nippon Electric Glass performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nippon Electric Backtesting, Nippon Electric Valuation, Nippon Electric Correlation, Nippon Electric Hype Analysis, Nippon Electric Volatility, Nippon Electric History as well as Nippon Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Nippon Electric's target price for which you would like Nippon Electric odds to be computed.

Nippon Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 21.48

The tendency of Nippon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.48 90 days 21.48 
about 35.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nippon Electric to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.56 (This Nippon Electric Glass probability density function shows the probability of Nippon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nippon Electric has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nippon Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nippon Electric Glass will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nippon Electric Glass has an alpha of 0.1773, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nippon Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nippon Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Electric Glass. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nippon Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8621.4823.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2520.8722.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nippon Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nippon Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nippon Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nippon Electric Glass.

Nippon Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nippon Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nippon Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nippon Electric Glass, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nippon Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Nippon Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nippon Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nippon Electric Glass can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nippon Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nippon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nippon Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93 M

Nippon Electric Technical Analysis

Nippon Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nippon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nippon Electric Glass. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nippon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nippon Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Nippon Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nippon Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nippon Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nippon Electric Glass

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nippon Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nippon Electric Glass help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Nippon Electric Backtesting, Nippon Electric Valuation, Nippon Electric Correlation, Nippon Electric Hype Analysis, Nippon Electric Volatility, Nippon Electric History as well as Nippon Electric Performance.
Note that the Nippon Electric Glass information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nippon Electric's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Nippon Pink Sheet analysis

When running Nippon Electric's price analysis, check to measure Nippon Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nippon Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Nippon Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nippon Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nippon Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nippon Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Nippon Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nippon Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nippon Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.