Navigator Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.94

NTBAX -  USA Fund  

USD 10.94  0.01  0.09%

Navigator Tactical's future price is the expected price of Navigator Tactical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Navigator Tactical Fixed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Navigator Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, see Navigator Tactical Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Navigator Tactical Correlation, Navigator Tactical Hype Analysis, Navigator Tactical Volatility, Navigator Tactical History as well as Navigator Tactical Performance. Please specify Navigator Tactical time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Navigator Tactical odds to be computed.
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Navigator Tactical Target Price Odds to finish over 10.94

The tendency of Navigator Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.94 90 days 10.94  about 66.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navigator Tactical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.22 (This Navigator Tactical Fixed probability density function shows the probability of Navigator Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Navigator Tactical has a beta of 0.0246. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Navigator Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Navigator Tactical Fixed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Navigator Tactical Fixed is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Navigator Tactical Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Navigator Tactical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navigator Tactical Fixed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navigator Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Navigator Tactical in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.7710.9411.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.7710.9411.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.8311.0111.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8410.9611.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Navigator Tactical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Navigator Tactical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Navigator Tactical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Navigator Tactical Fixed.

Navigator Tactical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navigator Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navigator Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navigator Tactical Fixed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navigator Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0022
β
Beta against DOW0.0246
σ
Overall volatility
0.047759
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Navigator Tactical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navigator Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navigator Tactical Fixed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Navigator Tactical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 29th of September 2021 Navigator Tactical paid $ 0.0506 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains about 33.94% of its assets in cash

Navigator Tactical Technical Analysis

Navigator Tactical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Navigator Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navigator Tactical Fixed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Navigator Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Navigator Tactical Predictive Forecast Models

Navigator Tactical time-series forecasting models is one of many Navigator Tactical's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Navigator Tactical's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Navigator Tactical Fixed

Checking the ongoing alerts about Navigator Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navigator Tactical Fixed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Navigator Tactical Alerts

Navigator Tactical Alerts and Suggestions

Navigator Tactical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 29th of September 2021 Navigator Tactical paid $ 0.0506 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains about 33.94% of its assets in cash
Additionally, see Navigator Tactical Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Navigator Tactical Correlation, Navigator Tactical Hype Analysis, Navigator Tactical Volatility, Navigator Tactical History as well as Navigator Tactical Performance. Note that the Navigator Tactical Fixed information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Navigator Tactical's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for Navigator Mutual Fund analysis

When running Navigator Tactical Fixed price analysis, check to measure Navigator Tactical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navigator Tactical is operating at the current time. Most of Navigator Tactical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navigator Tactical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navigator Tactical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navigator Tactical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Navigator Tactical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Navigator Tactical value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navigator Tactical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.