Natura Co Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.0
| NTCO Stock | USD 6.55 0.15 2.24% |
Closest to current price Natura long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Natura |
Natura Co Target Price Odds to finish over 16.0
The tendency of Natura Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 16.00 or more in 90 days |
| 6.55 | 90 days | 16.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natura Co to move over $ 16.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Natura Co Holding probability density function shows the probability of Natura Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Natura Co Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 6.55 and $ 16.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natura Co Holding has a beta of -0.0973. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Natura Co are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Natura Co Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Natura Co Holding has an alpha of 0.0824, implying that it can generate a 0.0824 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Natura Co Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Natura Co
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natura Co Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natura Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natura Co Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natura Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natura Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natura Co Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natura Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Natura Co Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natura Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natura Co Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Natura Co Holding currently holds about 4.28 B in cash with (1.37 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.23. | |
| Natura Co Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Natura Co Ends ADR Program, Maintains Compliance - TipRanks.com - TipRanks |
Natura Co Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natura Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natura Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natura Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 687.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
Natura Co Technical Analysis
Natura Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natura Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natura Co Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natura Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Natura Co Predictive Forecast Models
Natura Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many Natura Co's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Natura Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Natura Co Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Natura Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Natura Co Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Natura Co Holding currently holds about 4.28 B in cash with (1.37 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.23. | |
| Natura Co Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Natura Co Ends ADR Program, Maintains Compliance - TipRanks.com - TipRanks |
Check out Natura Co Backtesting, Natura Co Valuation, Natura Co Correlation, Natura Co Hype Analysis, Natura Co Volatility, Natura Co History as well as Natura Co Performance. Note that the Natura Co Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natura Co's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Natura Stock analysis
When running Natura Co's price analysis, check to measure Natura Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natura Co is operating at the current time. Most of Natura Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natura Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natura Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natura Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natura Co's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natura Co. If investors know Natura will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natura Co listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.748 | Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share 50.624 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets 0.0118 |
The market value of Natura Co Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natura that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natura Co's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natura Co's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natura Co's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natura Co's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natura Co's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natura Co is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natura Co's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.