Natcore OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0011

NTCXF -  USA Stock  

USD 0.0011  0.00  0.00%

Natcore Technology's future price is the expected price of Natcore Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Natcore Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Natcore Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, see Natcore Technology Backtesting, Natcore Technology Valuation, Natcore Technology Correlation, Natcore Technology Hype Analysis, Natcore Technology Volatility, Natcore Technology History as well as Natcore Technology Performance. Please specify Natcore Technology time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Natcore Technology odds to be computed.
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Natcore Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0011

The tendency of Natcore OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0011 90 days 0.0011  about 86.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natcore Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.45 (This Natcore Technology probability density function shows the probability of Natcore OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 5.52 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Natcore Technology will likely underperform. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 6.674, implying that it can generate a 6.67 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Natcore Technology Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Natcore Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natcore Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natcore Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natcore Technology in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.00124250.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.00090250.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.0090.0085220.026086
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natcore Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natcore Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natcore Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natcore Technology.

Natcore Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natcore Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natcore Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natcore Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natcore Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
6.67
β
Beta against DOW5.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.006641
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Natcore Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natcore Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natcore Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natcore Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Natcore Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Natcore Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Natcore Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Net Loss for the year was (1.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Natcore Technology has accumulated about 449.35 K in cash with (850.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Natcore Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natcore OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natcore Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natcore Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares86.07M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month60.16k

Natcore Technology Technical Analysis

Natcore Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natcore OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natcore Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natcore OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Natcore Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Natcore Technology time-series forecasting models is one of many Natcore Technology's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natcore Technology's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Natcore Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natcore Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Natcore Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Natcore Technology Alerts

Natcore Technology Alerts and Suggestions

Natcore Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Natcore Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Natcore Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Natcore Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Net Loss for the year was (1.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Natcore Technology has accumulated about 449.35 K in cash with (850.16 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Additionally, see Natcore Technology Backtesting, Natcore Technology Valuation, Natcore Technology Correlation, Natcore Technology Hype Analysis, Natcore Technology Volatility, Natcore Technology History as well as Natcore Technology Performance. Note that the Natcore Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natcore Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Natcore OTC Stock analysis

When running Natcore Technology price analysis, check to measure Natcore Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natcore Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Natcore Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natcore Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natcore Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natcore Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Natcore Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natcore that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natcore Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natcore Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natcore Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natcore Technology underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natcore Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natcore Technology value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natcore Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.