Netsol Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.87

NTWK Stock  USD 2.87  0.07  2.38%   
NetSol Technologies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on NetSol Technologies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of NetSol Technologies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in NetSol Technologies over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-15 PUT at $5.0 is a PUT option contract on NetSol Technologies' common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2024-03-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.8, and an ask price of $2.35. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of February is 228.77. View All NetSol options

Closest to current price NetSol long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

NetSol Technologies' future price is the expected price of NetSol Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NetSol Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NetSol Technologies Backtesting, NetSol Technologies Valuation, NetSol Technologies Correlation, NetSol Technologies Hype Analysis, NetSol Technologies Volatility, NetSol Technologies History as well as NetSol Technologies Performance.
For more information on how to buy NetSol Stock please use our How to buy in NetSol Stock guide.
  
At this time, NetSol Technologies' Price to Book Value is quite stable as compared to the past year. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 0.62 this year, although the value of Price to Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to (4.74). Please specify NetSol Technologies' target price for which you would like NetSol Technologies odds to be computed.

NetSol Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 2.87

The tendency of NetSol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.87 90 days 2.87 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NetSol Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NetSol Technologies probability density function shows the probability of NetSol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NetSol Technologies has a beta of -1.44. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding NetSol Technologies are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, NetSol Technologies is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.8746, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NetSol Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NetSol Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetSol Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of NetSol Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of NetSol Technologies in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.877.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.237.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.298.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NetSol Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NetSol Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NetSol Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NetSol Technologies.

NetSol Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NetSol Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NetSol Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NetSol Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NetSol Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.87
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

NetSol Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NetSol Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NetSol Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NetSol Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.92 M.
NetSol Technologies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: NetSol Technologies Research Coverage Started at StockNews.com

NetSol Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NetSol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NetSol Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetSol Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.5 M

NetSol Technologies Technical Analysis

NetSol Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NetSol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NetSol Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing NetSol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NetSol Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

NetSol Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many NetSol Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NetSol Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NetSol Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about NetSol Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NetSol Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NetSol Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 52.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.92 M.
NetSol Technologies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: NetSol Technologies Research Coverage Started at StockNews.com
When determining whether NetSol Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetSol Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock:
Check out NetSol Technologies Backtesting, NetSol Technologies Valuation, NetSol Technologies Correlation, NetSol Technologies Hype Analysis, NetSol Technologies Volatility, NetSol Technologies History as well as NetSol Technologies Performance.
For more information on how to buy NetSol Stock please use our How to buy in NetSol Stock guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for NetSol Stock analysis

When running NetSol Technologies' price analysis, check to measure NetSol Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NetSol Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of NetSol Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NetSol Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NetSol Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NetSol Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Is NetSol Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NetSol Technologies. If investors know NetSol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NetSol Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Earnings Share
(0.18)
Revenue Per Share
5.012
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.23
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of NetSol Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NetSol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NetSol Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NetSol Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NetSol Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NetSol Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NetSol Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NetSol Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NetSol Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.