Nufarm OTC Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 3.35

NUFMF -  USA Stock  

USD 3.35  0.00  0.00%

Nufarm's future price is the expected price of Nufarm instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nufarm performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Additionally, see Nufarm Backtesting, Nufarm Valuation, Nufarm Correlation, Nufarm Hype Analysis, Nufarm Volatility, Nufarm History as well as Nufarm Performance. Please specify Nufarm time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Nufarm odds to be computed.
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Nufarm Target Price Odds to finish over 3.35

The tendency of Nufarm OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.35 90 days 3.35  about 46.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nufarm to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.02 (This Nufarm probability density function shows the probability of Nufarm OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nufarm has a beta of -0.0957. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Nufarm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Nufarm is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.111, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Nufarm Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Nufarm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nufarm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nufarm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nufarm in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.513.354.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.333.174.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.423.264.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.213.363.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nufarm. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nufarm's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nufarm's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nufarm.

Nufarm Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nufarm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nufarm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nufarm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nufarm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.11
β
Beta against DOW-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Nufarm Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nufarm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nufarm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nufarm generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (548.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 239.52 M.
Nufarm has accumulated about 500.67 M in cash with (757.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32.
Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nufarm Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nufarm OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nufarm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nufarm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.08
Float Shares285.02M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month131
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.42%

Nufarm Technical Analysis

Nufarm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nufarm OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nufarm. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nufarm OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nufarm Predictive Forecast Models

Nufarm time-series forecasting models is one of many Nufarm's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Nufarm's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nufarm

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nufarm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nufarm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Nufarm Alerts

Nufarm Alerts and Suggestions

Nufarm generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (548.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 239.52 M.
Nufarm has accumulated about 500.67 M in cash with (757.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32.
Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, see Nufarm Backtesting, Nufarm Valuation, Nufarm Correlation, Nufarm Hype Analysis, Nufarm Volatility, Nufarm History as well as Nufarm Performance. Note that the Nufarm information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nufarm's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for Nufarm OTC Stock analysis

When running Nufarm price analysis, check to measure Nufarm's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nufarm is operating at the current time. Most of Nufarm's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nufarm's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nufarm's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nufarm to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Nufarm is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nufarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nufarm's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nufarm's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nufarm's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nufarm underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nufarm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nufarm value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nufarm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.