Northwestern Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.48
| NWE Stock | USD 50.84 0.18 0.35% |
Closest to current price NorthWestern long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
NorthWestern |
NorthWestern Target Price Odds to finish below 51.48
The tendency of NorthWestern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 51.48 after 90 days |
| 50.84 | 90 days | 51.48 | about 86.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NorthWestern to stay under $ 51.48 after 90 days from now is about 86.39 (This NorthWestern probability density function shows the probability of NorthWestern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NorthWestern price to stay between its current price of $ 50.84 and $ 51.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon NorthWestern has a beta of 0.9. This indicates NorthWestern market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NorthWestern is expected to follow. Additionally NorthWestern has an alpha of 0.0349, implying that it can generate a 0.0349 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NorthWestern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NorthWestern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NorthWestern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NorthWestern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NorthWestern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NorthWestern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NorthWestern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NorthWestern, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NorthWestern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
NorthWestern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NorthWestern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NorthWestern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 2.79 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is OK given its current industry classification. NorthWestern has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist NorthWestern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NorthWestern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NorthWestern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NorthWestern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NorthWestern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| NorthWestern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of NorthWestern shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Hold by Analysts - Defense World |
NorthWestern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NorthWestern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NorthWestern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NorthWestern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M |
NorthWestern Technical Analysis
NorthWestern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NorthWestern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NorthWestern. In general, you should focus on analyzing NorthWestern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NorthWestern Predictive Forecast Models
NorthWestern's time-series forecasting models is one of many NorthWestern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NorthWestern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NorthWestern
Checking the ongoing alerts about NorthWestern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NorthWestern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 2.79 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is OK given its current industry classification. NorthWestern has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist NorthWestern until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NorthWestern's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NorthWestern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NorthWestern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NorthWestern's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| NorthWestern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of NorthWestern shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Hold by Analysts - Defense World |
Check out NorthWestern Backtesting, NorthWestern Valuation, NorthWestern Correlation, NorthWestern Hype Analysis, NorthWestern Volatility, NorthWestern History as well as NorthWestern Performance. For information on how to trade NorthWestern Stock refer to our How to Trade NorthWestern Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
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When running NorthWestern's price analysis, check to measure NorthWestern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NorthWestern is operating at the current time. Most of NorthWestern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NorthWestern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NorthWestern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NorthWestern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NorthWestern's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NorthWestern. If investors know NorthWestern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NorthWestern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.013 | Dividend Share 2.57 | Earnings Share 3.23 | Revenue Per Share 23.774 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
The market value of NorthWestern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NorthWestern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NorthWestern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NorthWestern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NorthWestern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NorthWestern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NorthWestern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NorthWestern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NorthWestern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.