NWFAF OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.013

NWFAF -  USA Stock  

USD 0.013  0.0001  0.78%

New Focus' future price is the expected price of New Focus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New Focus Auto performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

NWFAF Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, see New Focus Backtesting, New Focus Valuation, New Focus Correlation, New Focus Hype Analysis, New Focus Volatility, New Focus History as well as New Focus Performance. Please specify New Focus time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like New Focus odds to be computed.
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New Focus Target Price Odds to finish over 0.013

The tendency of NWFAF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.013 90 days 0.013  about 22.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Focus to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.56 (This New Focus Auto probability density function shows the probability of NWFAF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon New Focus has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, New Focus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding New Focus Auto will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0613, implying that it can generate a 0.0613 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 New Focus Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for New Focus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Focus Auto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Focus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of New Focus in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.014.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.0097654.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New Focus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New Focus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New Focus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in New Focus Auto.

New Focus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Focus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Focus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Focus Auto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Focus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.001327
Ir
Information ratio 0.021172

New Focus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Focus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Focus Auto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Focus Auto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
New Focus Auto has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 911.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (466.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.41 M.
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.newyorker.com: Elon Musk and the Dangers of Another Stock Bubble - The New Yorker

New Focus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NWFAF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Focus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Focus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares1.97B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day23k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month53.52k

New Focus Technical Analysis

New Focus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NWFAF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Focus Auto. In general, you should focus on analyzing NWFAF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New Focus Predictive Forecast Models

New Focus time-series forecasting models is one of many New Focus' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary New Focus' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New Focus Auto

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Focus Auto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

New Focus Alerts

New Focus Alerts and Suggestions

New Focus Auto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
New Focus Auto has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 911.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (466.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.41 M.
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.newyorker.com: Elon Musk and the Dangers of Another Stock Bubble - The New Yorker
Additionally, see New Focus Backtesting, New Focus Valuation, New Focus Correlation, New Focus Hype Analysis, New Focus Volatility, New Focus History as well as New Focus Performance. Note that the New Focus Auto information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other New Focus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for NWFAF OTC Stock analysis

When running New Focus Auto price analysis, check to measure New Focus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Focus is operating at the current time. Most of New Focus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Focus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Focus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Focus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is New Focus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New Focus. If investors know NWFAF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New Focus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of New Focus Auto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NWFAF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New Focus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New Focus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New Focus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New Focus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New Focus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine New Focus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Focus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.