New Focus Auto Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0126
| NWFAF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
New |
New Focus Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0126
The tendency of New Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.01 in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Focus to stay above $ 0.01 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This New Focus Auto probability density function shows the probability of New Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Focus Auto price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.024 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.15 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon New Focus Auto has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New Focus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New Focus Auto is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New Focus Auto has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. New Focus Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Focus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Focus Auto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Focus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New Focus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Focus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Focus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Focus Auto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Focus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
New Focus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Focus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Focus Auto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New Focus Auto had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| New Focus Auto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 728.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 102.45 M. | |
| New Focus Auto has accumulated about 672.25 M in cash with (26.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
New Focus Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Focus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Focus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 B |
New Focus Technical Analysis
New Focus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Focus Auto. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Focus Predictive Forecast Models
New Focus' time-series forecasting models is one of many New Focus' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Focus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Focus Auto
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Focus Auto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New Focus Auto had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| New Focus Auto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 728.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 102.45 M. | |
| New Focus Auto has accumulated about 672.25 M in cash with (26.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out New Focus Backtesting, New Focus Valuation, New Focus Correlation, New Focus Hype Analysis, New Focus Volatility, New Focus History as well as New Focus Performance. Note that the New Focus Auto information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other New Focus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for New Pink Sheet analysis
When running New Focus' price analysis, check to measure New Focus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Focus is operating at the current time. Most of New Focus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Focus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Focus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Focus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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