OShaughnessy Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.13

OFVIX -  USA Fund  

USD 18.13  0.10  0.55%

OShaughnessy Market's future price is the expected price of OShaughnessy Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OShaughnessy Market Leaders performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

OShaughnessy Price Probability 

 
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Please check OShaughnessy Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, OShaughnessy Market Correlation, OShaughnessy Market Hype Analysis, OShaughnessy Market Volatility, OShaughnessy Market History as well as OShaughnessy Market Performance. Please specify OShaughnessy Market time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like OShaughnessy Market odds to be computed.
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OShaughnessy Market Target Price Odds to finish over 18.13

The tendency of OShaughnessy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.13 90 days 18.13  about 5.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OShaughnessy Market to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.38 (This OShaughnessy Market Leaders probability density function shows the probability of OShaughnessy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon OShaughnessy Market has a beta of 0.95. This indicates OShaughnessy Market Leaders market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, OShaughnessy Market is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.029, implying that it can generate a 0.029 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 OShaughnessy Market Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for OShaughnessy Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OShaughnessy Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of OShaughnessy Market's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of OShaughnessy Market in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
17.3918.1318.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.2918.0318.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.4818.2218.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9318.0618.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OShaughnessy Market. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OShaughnessy Market's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OShaughnessy Market's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in OShaughnessy Market.

OShaughnessy Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OShaughnessy Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OShaughnessy Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OShaughnessy Market Leaders, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OShaughnessy Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.029016
β
Beta against DOW0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.034203

OShaughnessy Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OShaughnessy Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OShaughnessy Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Volatility And Dynamic Hedging David Slays Goliath - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains 98.1% of its assets in stocks

OShaughnessy Market Technical Analysis

OShaughnessy Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OShaughnessy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OShaughnessy Market Leaders. In general, you should focus on analyzing OShaughnessy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OShaughnessy Market Predictive Forecast Models

OShaughnessy Market time-series forecasting models is one of many OShaughnessy Market's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary OShaughnessy Market's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OShaughnessy Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about OShaughnessy Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OShaughnessy Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

OShaughnessy Market Alerts

OShaughnessy Market Alerts and Suggestions

Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Volatility And Dynamic Hedging David Slays Goliath - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains 98.1% of its assets in stocks
Please check OShaughnessy Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, OShaughnessy Market Correlation, OShaughnessy Market Hype Analysis, OShaughnessy Market Volatility, OShaughnessy Market History as well as OShaughnessy Market Performance. Note that the OShaughnessy Market information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other OShaughnessy Market's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running OShaughnessy Market price analysis, check to measure OShaughnessy Market's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OShaughnessy Market is operating at the current time. Most of OShaughnessy Market's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OShaughnessy Market's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OShaughnessy Market's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OShaughnessy Market to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between OShaughnessy Market's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine OShaughnessy Market value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OShaughnessy Market's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.