Omeros Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.76
| OMER Stock | USD 3.08 0.03 0.98% |
Closest to current price Omeros long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Omeros |
Omeros Target Price Odds to finish below 3.76
The tendency of Omeros Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.76 after 90 days |
| 3.08 | 90 days | 3.76 | about 49.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omeros to stay under $ 3.76 after 90 days from now is about 49.88 (This Omeros probability density function shows the probability of Omeros Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omeros price to stay between its current price of $ 3.08 and $ 3.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.7 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Omeros will likely underperform. Additionally Omeros has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Omeros Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Omeros
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omeros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omeros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Omeros Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omeros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omeros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omeros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omeros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Omeros Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omeros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omeros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omeros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omeros has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Omeros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (174.92 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (71.4 M). | |
| Omeros has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: OMER Stock Earnings Omeros Misses EPS for Q4 2023 |
Omeros Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omeros Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omeros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omeros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.8 M |
Omeros Technical Analysis
Omeros' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omeros Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omeros. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omeros Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Omeros Predictive Forecast Models
Omeros' time-series forecasting models is one of many Omeros' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omeros' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Omeros
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omeros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omeros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Omeros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omeros has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Omeros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (174.92 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (71.4 M). | |
| Omeros has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: OMER Stock Earnings Omeros Misses EPS for Q4 2023 |
Check out Omeros Backtesting, Omeros Valuation, Omeros Correlation, Omeros Hype Analysis, Omeros Volatility, Omeros History as well as Omeros Performance. To learn how to invest in Omeros Stock, please use our How to Invest in Omeros guide.Note that the Omeros information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Omeros' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Omeros Stock analysis
When running Omeros' price analysis, check to measure Omeros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omeros is operating at the current time. Most of Omeros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omeros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omeros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omeros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Omeros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omeros. If investors know Omeros will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omeros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.79) | Revenue Per Share (0.48) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.149 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (5.76) |
The market value of Omeros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omeros that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omeros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omeros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omeros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omeros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omeros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omeros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omeros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.