Ouster Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.91
| OUST Stock | USD 11.38 0.10 0.87% |
Closest to current price Ouster long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Ouster |
Ouster Target Price Odds to finish below 8.91
The tendency of Ouster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.91 or more in 90 days |
| 11.38 | 90 days | 8.91 | about 57.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ouster to drop to $ 8.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.96 (This Ouster Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ouster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ouster Inc price to stay between $ 8.91 and its current price of $11.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ouster Inc has a beta of -0.19. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ouster are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ouster Inc is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Ouster Inc has an alpha of 1.4359, implying that it can generate a 1.44 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ouster Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ouster
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ouster Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ouster's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ouster Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ouster is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ouster's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ouster Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ouster within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Ouster Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ouster for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ouster Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ouster Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ouster Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (374.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.93 M. | |
| Ouster Inc currently holds about 159.71 M in cash with (137.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.88. | |
| Ouster Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 7159 shares by Mark Weinswig of Ouster at 11.7158 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Ouster Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ouster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ouster's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ouster's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 190.7 M |
Ouster Technical Analysis
Ouster's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ouster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ouster Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ouster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ouster Predictive Forecast Models
Ouster's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ouster's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ouster's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ouster Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ouster for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ouster Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ouster Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ouster Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (374.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.93 M. | |
| Ouster Inc currently holds about 159.71 M in cash with (137.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.88. | |
| Ouster Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 7159 shares by Mark Weinswig of Ouster at 11.7158 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Ouster Stock Analysis
When running Ouster's price analysis, check to measure Ouster's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ouster is operating at the current time. Most of Ouster's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ouster's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ouster's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ouster to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.