Oxford Lane Capital Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 22.39

OXLCO Preferred Stock  USD 22.39  0.10  0.45%   
Oxford Lane's future price is the expected price of Oxford Lane instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oxford Lane Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oxford Lane Backtesting, Oxford Lane Valuation, Oxford Lane Correlation, Oxford Lane Hype Analysis, Oxford Lane Volatility, Oxford Lane History as well as Oxford Lane Performance.
  
Please specify Oxford Lane's target price for which you would like Oxford Lane odds to be computed.

Oxford Lane Target Price Odds to finish over 22.39

The tendency of Oxford Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.39 90 days 22.39 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oxford Lane to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oxford Lane Capital probability density function shows the probability of Oxford Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oxford Lane has a beta of 0.0061. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oxford Lane average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oxford Lane Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oxford Lane Capital has an alpha of 0.0029, implying that it can generate a 0.002942 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oxford Lane Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oxford Lane

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oxford Lane Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oxford Lane's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6722.2922.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5721.1924.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oxford Lane. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oxford Lane's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oxford Lane's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oxford Lane Capital.

Oxford Lane Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oxford Lane is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oxford Lane's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oxford Lane Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oxford Lane within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Oxford Lane Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oxford Lane for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oxford Lane Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oxford Lane Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Oxford Lane Capital has accumulated about 34.67 M in cash with (385.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.

Oxford Lane Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oxford Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oxford Lane's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oxford Lane's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34.7 M

Oxford Lane Technical Analysis

Oxford Lane's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oxford Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oxford Lane Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oxford Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oxford Lane Predictive Forecast Models

Oxford Lane's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oxford Lane's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oxford Lane's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oxford Lane Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oxford Lane for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oxford Lane Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oxford Lane Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Oxford Lane Capital has accumulated about 34.67 M in cash with (385.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.
Check out Oxford Lane Backtesting, Oxford Lane Valuation, Oxford Lane Correlation, Oxford Lane Hype Analysis, Oxford Lane Volatility, Oxford Lane History as well as Oxford Lane Performance.
Note that the Oxford Lane Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oxford Lane's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Oxford Preferred Stock analysis

When running Oxford Lane's price analysis, check to measure Oxford Lane's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oxford Lane is operating at the current time. Most of Oxford Lane's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oxford Lane's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oxford Lane's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oxford Lane to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Lane's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oxford Lane is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Lane's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.