PAR Technology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.88

PAR Stock

USD 31.88 0.28 0.89%

PAR Technology's future price is the expected price of PAR Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PAR Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. PAR Technology Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. PAR Technology reported last year Price to Book Value of 1.90. As of 03/23/2023, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 2.06, while Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (11.03) .

PAR Technology's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on PAR Technology. Implied volatility approximates the future value of PAR Technology based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in PAR Technology over a specific time period. For example, 2023-04-21 CALL at $30.0 is a CALL option contract on PAR Technology's common stock with a strick price of 30.0 expiring on 2023-04-21. The contract was last traded on 2023-03-16 at 11:23:30 for $3.65 and, as of today, has 29 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.8, and an ask price of $4.0. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of March is 69.9585. View All PAR Technology options

Closest to current price PAR Technology long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

PAR Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 31.88

The tendency of PAR Technology Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds to move above the current price in 90 days
31.88	90 days	31.88	about 49.41

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PAR Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.41 (This PAR Technology probability density function shows the probability of PAR Technology Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PAR Technology will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.6342, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

PAR Technology Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for PAR Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PAR Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of PAR Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of PAR Technology in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated Value	High
27.31	30.69	34.07

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real Value	High
28.81	38.49	41.87

Details

6 Analysts

Consensus

Low	Target Price	High
30.00	39.20	46.00

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PAR Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PAR Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PAR Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in PAR Technology.

PAR Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PAR Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PAR Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PAR Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PAR Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

α	Alpha over NYSE Composite	0.63	Details
β	Beta against NYSE Composite	1.67	Details
σ	Overall volatility	4.76	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.18	Details

PAR Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PAR Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PAR Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	PAR Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
	PAR Technology was previously known as PTC Inc and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol PTC.
	The company reported the last year's revenue of 355.8 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (69.32 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 89.29 M.
	PAR Technology has about 77.53 M in cash with (43.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.75.
	PAR Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
	Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
	Latest headline from news.google.com: Ken Griffin says SVB depositors should not have been bailed out It would have been a great lesson in moral hazard - Fortune

PAR Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PAR Technology Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PAR Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PAR Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	27.2 M
	Cash And Short Term Investments	110.6 M

PAR Technology Technical Analysis

PAR Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PAR Technology Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PAR Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing PAR Technology Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

PAR Technology Predictive Forecast Models

PAR Technology time-series forecasting models is one of many PAR Technology's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary PAR Technology's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PAR Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about PAR Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PAR Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	PAR Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
	PAR Technology was previously known as PTC Inc and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol PTC.
	The company reported the last year's revenue of 355.8 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (69.32 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 89.29 M.
	PAR Technology has about 77.53 M in cash with (43.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.75.
	PAR Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
	Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
	Latest headline from news.google.com: Ken Griffin says SVB depositors should not have been bailed out It would have been a great lesson in moral hazard - Fortune

Check out PAR Technology Backtesting, PAR Technology Valuation, PAR Technology Correlation, PAR Technology Hype Analysis, PAR Technology Volatility, PAR Technology History as well as PAR Technology Performance. To learn how to invest in PAR Technology Stock please use our How to Invest in PAR Technology guide. Note that the PAR Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PAR Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for PAR Technology Stock analysis

When running PAR Technology price analysis, check to measure PAR Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PAR Technology is operating at the current time. Most of PAR Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PAR Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PAR Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PAR Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is PAR Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PAR Technology. If investors know PAR Technology will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PAR Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Earnings Share

(2.50)

Revenue Per Share

13.104

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.197

Return On Assets

(0.0438)

Return On Equity

(0.16)

The market value of PAR Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PAR Technology that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PAR Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PAR Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PAR Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PAR Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between PAR Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine PAR Technology value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PAR Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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	8 Period Moving Average
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PAR Technology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.88

Closest to current price PAR Technology long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

PAR Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 31.88

Predictive Modules for PAR Technology

PAR Technology Risk Indicators

PAR Technology Alerts and Suggestions

PAR Technology Price Density Drivers

PAR Technology Technical Analysis

PAR Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Things to note about PAR Technology

Complementary Tools for PAR Technology Stock analysis

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