Pccw Limited Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.40
| PCWLF Stock | USD 0.46 0.01 2.13% |
PCCW |
PCCW Target Price Odds to finish over 4.40
The tendency of PCCW Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.40 or more in 90 days |
| 0.46 | 90 days | 4.40 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PCCW to move over $ 4.40 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This PCCW Limited probability density function shows the probability of PCCW Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PCCW Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.46 and $ 4.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PCCW has a beta of 0.64 indicating as returns on the market go up, PCCW average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PCCW Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PCCW Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PCCW Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PCCW
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCCW Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PCCW's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PCCW Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PCCW is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PCCW's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PCCW Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PCCW within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
PCCW Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PCCW for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PCCW Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PCCW Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PCCW Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| PCCW Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 44.4 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PCCW Limited has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PCCW until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PCCW's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PCCW Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PCCW to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PCCW's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of PCCW outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PCCW Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PCCW Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PCCW's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PCCW's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.7 B |
PCCW Technical Analysis
PCCW's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PCCW Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PCCW Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing PCCW Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PCCW Predictive Forecast Models
PCCW's time-series forecasting models is one of many PCCW's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PCCW's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PCCW Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about PCCW for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PCCW Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PCCW Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PCCW Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| PCCW Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 44.4 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PCCW Limited has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PCCW until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PCCW's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PCCW Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PCCW to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PCCW's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of PCCW outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out PCCW Backtesting, PCCW Valuation, PCCW Correlation, PCCW Hype Analysis, PCCW Volatility, PCCW History as well as PCCW Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for PCCW Pink Sheet analysis
When running PCCW's price analysis, check to measure PCCW's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PCCW is operating at the current time. Most of PCCW's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PCCW's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PCCW's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PCCW to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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