Panca Global (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 92.46
| PEGE Stock | IDR 525.00 456.00 660.87% |
Panca |
Panca Global Target Price Odds to finish over 92.46
The tendency of Panca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 92.46 in 90 days |
| 525.00 | 90 days | 92.46 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panca Global to stay above 92.46 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Panca Global Securities probability density function shows the probability of Panca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panca Global Securities price to stay between 92.46 and its current price of 525.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panca Global Securities has a beta of -0.17 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Panca Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Panca Global Securities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Panca Global Securities has an alpha of 0.5019, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Panca Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Panca Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panca Global Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Panca Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Panca Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panca Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panca Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Panca Global Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panca Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 87.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Panca Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panca Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panca Global Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Panca Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Panca Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Panca Global has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (97.24 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (95.12 B). | |
| Panca Global generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Panca Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panca Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panca Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 391.8 B |
Panca Global Technical Analysis
Panca Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Panca Global Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Panca Global Predictive Forecast Models
Panca Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Panca Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panca Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Panca Global Securities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Panca Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panca Global Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Panca Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Panca Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Panca Global has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (97.24 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (95.12 B). | |
| Panca Global generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Panca Stock
Panca Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panca with respect to the benefits of owning Panca Global security.