Puhui Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.6

PHCF -  USA Stock  

USD 2.63  0.09  3.54%

Puhui Wealth's future price is the expected price of Puhui Wealth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Puhui Wealth Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please check Puhui Wealth Backtesting, Puhui Wealth Valuation, Puhui Wealth Correlation, Puhui Wealth Hype Analysis, Puhui Wealth Volatility, Puhui Wealth History as well as Puhui Wealth Performance. Please specify Puhui Wealth time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Puhui Wealth odds to be computed.
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Puhui Wealth Target Price Odds to finish over 3.6

The tendency of Puhui Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 3.60  or more in 90 days
 2.63 90 days 3.60  about 40.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Puhui Wealth to move over $ 3.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.13 (This Puhui Wealth Investment probability density function shows the probability of Puhui Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Puhui Wealth Investment price to stay between its current price of $ 2.63  and $ 3.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Puhui Wealth has a beta of 0.39 indicating as returns on the market go up, Puhui Wealth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Puhui Wealth Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Puhui Wealth Investment is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Puhui Wealth Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Puhui Wealth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Puhui Wealth Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Puhui Wealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Puhui Wealth in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.132.687.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.132.547.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0498352.497.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.522.712.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Puhui Wealth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Puhui Wealth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Puhui Wealth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Puhui Wealth Investment.

Puhui Wealth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Puhui Wealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Puhui Wealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Puhui Wealth Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Puhui Wealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.55
β
Beta against DOW0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Puhui Wealth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Puhui Wealth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Puhui Wealth Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Puhui Wealth generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Puhui Wealth has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.98 M.
Puhui Wealth Investment currently holds about 1.26 M in cash with (1.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.equities.com: Puhui Wealth Co falls 5.27 percent to Close at 2.54 on September 16 - Equities.com

Puhui Wealth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Puhui Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Puhui Wealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Puhui Wealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.04%
Short Percent Of Float0.08%
Float Shares3.76M
Shares Short Prior Month2.55k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.31k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month26.71k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021

Puhui Wealth Technical Analysis

Puhui Wealth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Puhui Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Puhui Wealth Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Puhui Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Puhui Wealth Predictive Forecast Models

Puhui Wealth time-series forecasting models is one of many Puhui Wealth's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Puhui Wealth's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Puhui Wealth Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Puhui Wealth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Puhui Wealth Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Puhui Wealth Alerts

Puhui Wealth Alerts and Suggestions

Puhui Wealth generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Puhui Wealth has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.98 M.
Puhui Wealth Investment currently holds about 1.26 M in cash with (1.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.equities.com: Puhui Wealth Co falls 5.27 percent to Close at 2.54 on September 16 - Equities.com
Please check Puhui Wealth Backtesting, Puhui Wealth Valuation, Puhui Wealth Correlation, Puhui Wealth Hype Analysis, Puhui Wealth Volatility, Puhui Wealth History as well as Puhui Wealth Performance. Note that the Puhui Wealth Investment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Puhui Wealth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Puhui Wealth Investment price analysis, check to measure Puhui Wealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Puhui Wealth is operating at the current time. Most of Puhui Wealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Puhui Wealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Puhui Wealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Puhui Wealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Puhui Wealth Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Puhui that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Puhui Wealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Puhui Wealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Puhui Wealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Puhui Wealth Investment underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Puhui Wealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Puhui Wealth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Puhui Wealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.