Plumb Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 28.07

PLABX
 Fund
  

USD 28.07  0.47  1.65%   

Plumb Balanced's future price is the expected price of Plumb Balanced instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plumb Balanced performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Plumb Balanced Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Plumb Balanced Correlation, Plumb Balanced Hype Analysis, Plumb Balanced Volatility, Plumb Balanced History as well as Plumb Balanced Performance. Please specify Plumb Balanced time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Plumb Balanced odds to be computed.

Plumb Balanced Target Price Odds to finish over 28.07

The tendency of Plumb Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.07 90 days 28.07 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plumb Balanced to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Plumb Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Plumb Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Plumb Balanced has a beta of 0.0262 indicating as returns on the market go up, Plumb Balanced average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Plumb Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Plumb Balanced is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Plumb Balanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plumb Balanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plumb Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plumb Balanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Plumb Balanced in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
26.9328.0729.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.5028.6429.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.1727.3128.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8930.6033.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Plumb Balanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Plumb Balanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Plumb Balanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Plumb Balanced.

Plumb Balanced Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plumb Balanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plumb Balanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plumb Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plumb Balanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW0.0262
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Plumb Balanced Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plumb Balanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plumb Balanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plumb Balanced generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%

Plumb Balanced Technical Analysis

Plumb Balanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plumb Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plumb Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plumb Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plumb Balanced Predictive Forecast Models

Plumb Balanced time-series forecasting models is one of many Plumb Balanced's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Plumb Balanced's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plumb Balanced

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plumb Balanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plumb Balanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plumb Balanced generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Please check Plumb Balanced Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Plumb Balanced Correlation, Plumb Balanced Hype Analysis, Plumb Balanced Volatility, Plumb Balanced History as well as Plumb Balanced Performance. Note that the Plumb Balanced information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Plumb Balanced's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Plumb Mutual Fund analysis

When running Plumb Balanced price analysis, check to measure Plumb Balanced's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plumb Balanced is operating at the current time. Most of Plumb Balanced's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plumb Balanced's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plumb Balanced's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plumb Balanced to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Plumb Balanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Plumb Balanced value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Plumb Balanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.