Pacific Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.75

PLBCX -  USA Fund  

USD 9.76  0.00  0.00%

Pacific Funds' future price is the expected price of Pacific Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Funds Floating performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Pacific Price Probability 

 
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Please check Pacific Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pacific Funds Correlation, Pacific Funds Hype Analysis, Pacific Funds Volatility, Pacific Funds History as well as Pacific Funds Performance. Please specify Pacific Funds time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Pacific Funds odds to be computed.
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Pacific Funds Target Price Odds to finish over 9.75

The tendency of Pacific Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 9.75  in 90 days
 9.76 90 days 9.75  about 28.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Funds to stay above $ 9.75  in 90 days from now is about 28.6 (This Pacific Funds Floating probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Funds Floating price to stay between $ 9.75  and its current price of $9.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pacific Funds has a beta of 0.0134 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pacific Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pacific Funds Floating will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Pacific Funds Floating is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Pacific Funds Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Pacific Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Funds Floating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pacific Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pacific Funds in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.669.769.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.659.759.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.669.769.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.749.759.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Funds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Funds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Funds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pacific Funds Floating.

Pacific Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Funds Floating, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0072
β
Beta against DOW0.0134
σ
Overall volatility
0.017716
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Pacific Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Funds Floating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Funds is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 8.54% of its assets in cash

Pacific Funds Technical Analysis

Pacific Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Funds Floating. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Funds Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Funds time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Funds' mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Pacific Funds' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Funds Floating

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Funds Floating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Pacific Funds Alerts

Pacific Funds Alerts and Suggestions

Pacific Funds is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 8.54% of its assets in cash
Please check Pacific Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pacific Funds Correlation, Pacific Funds Hype Analysis, Pacific Funds Volatility, Pacific Funds History as well as Pacific Funds Performance. Note that the Pacific Funds Floating information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pacific Funds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Pacific Mutual Fund analysis

When running Pacific Funds Floating price analysis, check to measure Pacific Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pacific Funds is operating at the current time. Most of Pacific Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pacific Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pacific Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pacific Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pacific Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pacific Funds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pacific Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.