Pampa Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.18

PMMCF Stock  USD 0.26  0.01  4.00%   
Pampa Metals' future price is the expected price of Pampa Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pampa Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pampa Metals Backtesting, Pampa Metals Valuation, Pampa Metals Correlation, Pampa Metals Hype Analysis, Pampa Metals Volatility, Pampa Metals History as well as Pampa Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Pampa Metals' target price for which you would like Pampa Metals odds to be computed.

Pampa Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18

The tendency of Pampa OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.18  in 90 days
 0.26 90 days 0.18 
about 68.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pampa Metals to stay above $ 0.18  in 90 days from now is about 68.22 (This Pampa Metals probability density function shows the probability of Pampa OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pampa Metals price to stay between $ 0.18  and its current price of $0.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pampa Metals has a beta of 0.23 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pampa Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pampa Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pampa Metals has an alpha of 0.7765, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pampa Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pampa Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pampa Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pampa Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.265.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.215.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.305.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.150.220.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pampa Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pampa Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pampa Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pampa Metals.

Pampa Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pampa Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pampa Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pampa Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pampa Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.78
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Pampa Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pampa Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pampa Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pampa Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pampa Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pampa Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Pampa Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Pampa Metals has accumulated about 637.35 K in cash with (1.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pampa Metals Technical Analysis

Pampa Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pampa OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pampa Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pampa OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pampa Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Pampa Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pampa Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pampa Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pampa Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pampa Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pampa Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pampa Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pampa Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pampa Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Pampa Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Pampa Metals has accumulated about 637.35 K in cash with (1.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Pampa Metals Backtesting, Pampa Metals Valuation, Pampa Metals Correlation, Pampa Metals Hype Analysis, Pampa Metals Volatility, Pampa Metals History as well as Pampa Metals Performance.
Note that the Pampa Metals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pampa Metals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Pampa Metals' price analysis, check to measure Pampa Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pampa Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Pampa Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pampa Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pampa Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pampa Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pampa Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pampa Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pampa Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.