Pacific Imperial Mines Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.02

PPM Stock  CAD 0.02  0.01  20.00%   
Pacific Imperial's future price is the expected price of Pacific Imperial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Imperial Mines performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Imperial Backtesting, Pacific Imperial Valuation, Pacific Imperial Correlation, Pacific Imperial Hype Analysis, Pacific Imperial Volatility, Pacific Imperial History as well as Pacific Imperial Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Imperial's target price for which you would like Pacific Imperial odds to be computed.

Pacific Imperial Target Price Odds to finish over 0.02

The tendency of Pacific Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 12.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Imperial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.43 (This Pacific Imperial Mines probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pacific Imperial Mines has a beta of -3.8 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Pacific Imperial Mines are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Pacific Imperial is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Pacific Imperial Mines has an alpha of 2.0311, implying that it can generate a 2.03 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pacific Imperial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Imperial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Imperial Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pacific Imperial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0218.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0218.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0218.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Imperial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Imperial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Imperial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pacific Imperial Mines.

Pacific Imperial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Imperial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Imperial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Imperial Mines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Imperial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
2.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-3.8
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Pacific Imperial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Imperial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Imperial Mines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Imperial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pacific Imperial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pacific Imperial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Pacific Imperial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (265.14 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Pacific Imperial Mines has accumulated about 239.21 K in cash with (173.23 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Pacific Imperial Mines Inc down on Monday - The Globe and Mail

Pacific Imperial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pacific Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pacific Imperial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Imperial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.1 M

Pacific Imperial Technical Analysis

Pacific Imperial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Imperial Mines. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Imperial Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Imperial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Imperial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Imperial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Imperial Mines

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Imperial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Imperial Mines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacific Imperial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pacific Imperial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pacific Imperial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Pacific Imperial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (265.14 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Pacific Imperial Mines has accumulated about 239.21 K in cash with (173.23 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Closing Bell Pacific Imperial Mines Inc down on Monday - The Globe and Mail

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When running Pacific Imperial's price analysis, check to measure Pacific Imperial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pacific Imperial is operating at the current time. Most of Pacific Imperial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pacific Imperial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pacific Imperial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pacific Imperial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pacific Imperial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pacific Imperial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pacific Imperial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.