Publicis Groupe SA Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 21.23

PUBGYDelisted Stock  USD 21.23  0.15  0.71%   
Publicis Groupe's future price is the expected price of Publicis Groupe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Publicis Groupe SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Publicis Groupe's target price for which you would like Publicis Groupe odds to be computed.

Publicis Groupe Target Price Odds to finish over 21.23

The tendency of Publicis OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.23 90 days 21.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Publicis Groupe to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Publicis Groupe SA probability density function shows the probability of Publicis OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Publicis Groupe has a beta of 0.0199 indicating as returns on the market go up, Publicis Groupe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Publicis Groupe SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Publicis Groupe SA has an alpha of 0.126, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Publicis Groupe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Publicis Groupe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Publicis Groupe SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Publicis Groupe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.2321.2321.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4217.4223.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.0222.0222.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.3319.6620.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Publicis Groupe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Publicis Groupe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Publicis Groupe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Publicis Groupe SA.

Publicis Groupe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Publicis Groupe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Publicis Groupe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Publicis Groupe SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Publicis Groupe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Publicis Groupe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Publicis Groupe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Publicis Groupe SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Publicis Groupe SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Publicis Groupe SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has accumulated 3.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Publicis Groupe SA has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Publicis Groupe until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Publicis Groupe's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Publicis Groupe SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Publicis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Publicis Groupe's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Publicis Groupe Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Publicis OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Publicis Groupe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Publicis Groupe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding251.8 M

Publicis Groupe Technical Analysis

Publicis Groupe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Publicis OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Publicis Groupe SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Publicis OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Publicis Groupe Predictive Forecast Models

Publicis Groupe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Publicis Groupe's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Publicis Groupe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Publicis Groupe SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Publicis Groupe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Publicis Groupe SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Publicis Groupe SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Publicis Groupe SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has accumulated 3.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Publicis Groupe SA has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Publicis Groupe until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Publicis Groupe's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Publicis Groupe SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Publicis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Publicis Groupe's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Publicis Groupe SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Publicis Groupe's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Other Consideration for investing in Publicis OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Publicis Groupe SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Publicis Groupe's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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