Vaneck Inflation Allocation Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 25.03

RAAX Etf  USD 26.93  0.34  1.28%   
VanEck Inflation's future price is the expected price of VanEck Inflation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck Inflation Allocation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck Inflation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Inflation Correlation, VanEck Inflation Hype Analysis, VanEck Inflation Volatility, VanEck Inflation History as well as VanEck Inflation Performance.
  
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VanEck Inflation Target Price Odds to finish over 25.03

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 25.03  in 90 days
 26.93 90 days 25.03 
about 74.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Inflation to stay above $ 25.03  in 90 days from now is about 74.22 (This VanEck Inflation Allocation probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Inflation All price to stay between $ 25.03  and its current price of $26.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Inflation has a beta of 0.0964 indicating as returns on the market go up, VanEck Inflation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Inflation Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Inflation Allocation has an alpha of 0.0575, implying that it can generate a 0.0575 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VanEck Inflation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck Inflation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Inflation All. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Inflation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.9226.9327.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4826.4927.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.6826.6927.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.2526.6627.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VanEck Inflation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VanEck Inflation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VanEck Inflation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VanEck Inflation All.

VanEck Inflation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Inflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Inflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Inflation Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Inflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

VanEck Inflation Technical Analysis

VanEck Inflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Inflation Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck Inflation Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck Inflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Inflation's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Inflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VanEck Inflation in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VanEck Inflation's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VanEck Inflation options trading.
When determining whether VanEck Inflation All offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VanEck Inflation's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vaneck Inflation Allocation Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vaneck Inflation Allocation Etf:
Check out VanEck Inflation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Inflation Correlation, VanEck Inflation Hype Analysis, VanEck Inflation Volatility, VanEck Inflation History as well as VanEck Inflation Performance.
Note that the VanEck Inflation All information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VanEck Inflation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for VanEck Etf analysis

When running VanEck Inflation's price analysis, check to measure VanEck Inflation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VanEck Inflation is operating at the current time. Most of VanEck Inflation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VanEck Inflation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VanEck Inflation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VanEck Inflation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of VanEck Inflation All is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Inflation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Inflation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Inflation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Inflation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Inflation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Inflation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Inflation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.