RAMA PETROCHEMICALS (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.51

RAMAPETRO -  India Stock  

INR 3.80  0.00  0.00%

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's future price is the expected price of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

RAMAPETRO Price Probability 

 
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RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Target Price Odds to finish below 3.51

The tendency of RAMAPETRO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3.51  or more in 90 days
 3.80 90 days 3.51  about 53.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS to drop to  3.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.51 (This RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD probability density function shows the probability of RAMAPETRO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD price to stay between  3.51  and its current price of 3.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RAMA PETROCHEMICALS has a beta of 0.0504 indicating as returns on the market go up, RAMA PETROCHEMICALS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD is significantly underperforming DOW.
 RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for RAMA PETROCHEMICALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.803.803.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.992.994.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RAMA PETROCHEMICALS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD.

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RAMA PETROCHEMICALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.22
β
Beta against DOW0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RAMA PETROCHEMICALS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
RAMA PETROCHEMICALS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 207.65 M in total debt. RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.11 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.91 M).
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RAMAPETRO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day324
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.23k

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Technical Analysis

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RAMAPETRO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing RAMAPETRO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Predictive Forecast Models

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS time-series forecasting models is one of many RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about RAMA PETROCHEMICALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Alerts

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS Alerts and Suggestions

RAMA PETROCHEMICALS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
RAMA PETROCHEMICALS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 207.65 M in total debt. RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.11 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.91 M).
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, take a look at Your Equity Center. Note that the RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Other Tools for RAMAPETRO Stock

When running RAMA PETROCHEMICALS LTD price analysis, check to measure RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RAMA PETROCHEMICALS is operating at the current time. Most of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RAMA PETROCHEMICALS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RAMA PETROCHEMICALS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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