Natwest Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.63
| RBSPF Stock | USD 4.06 0.56 16.00% |
NatWest |
NatWest Group Target Price Odds to finish below 3.63
The tendency of NatWest Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.63 or more in 90 days |
| 4.06 | 90 days | 3.63 | about 89.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NatWest Group to drop to $ 3.63 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.87 (This NatWest Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of NatWest Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NatWest Group PLC price to stay between $ 3.63 and its current price of $4.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.77 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, NatWest Group will likely underperform. Additionally NatWest Group PLC has an alpha of 0.6576, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NatWest Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NatWest Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NatWest Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NatWest Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NatWest Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NatWest Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NatWest Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NatWest Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NatWest Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
NatWest Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NatWest Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NatWest Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NatWest Group PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NatWest Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NatWest Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NatWest Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NatWest Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 177.8 B |
NatWest Group Technical Analysis
NatWest Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NatWest Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NatWest Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing NatWest Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NatWest Group Predictive Forecast Models
NatWest Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many NatWest Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NatWest Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NatWest Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about NatWest Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NatWest Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NatWest Group PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out NatWest Group Backtesting, NatWest Group Valuation, NatWest Group Correlation, NatWest Group Hype Analysis, NatWest Group Volatility, NatWest Group History as well as NatWest Group Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for NatWest Pink Sheet analysis
When running NatWest Group's price analysis, check to measure NatWest Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NatWest Group is operating at the current time. Most of NatWest Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NatWest Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NatWest Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NatWest Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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