Radcom Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.58

RDCM Stock  USD 10.80  0.04  0.37%   
Radcom's future price is the expected price of Radcom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Radcom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Radcom Backtesting, Radcom Valuation, Radcom Correlation, Radcom Hype Analysis, Radcom Volatility, Radcom History as well as Radcom Performance.
To learn how to invest in Radcom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Radcom guide.
  
At this time, Radcom's Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify Radcom's target price for which you would like Radcom odds to be computed.

Radcom Target Price Odds to finish over 16.58

The tendency of Radcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.58  or more in 90 days
 10.80 90 days 16.58 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Radcom to move over $ 16.58  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Radcom probability density function shows the probability of Radcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Radcom price to stay between its current price of $ 10.80  and $ 16.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Radcom has a beta of 0.74 indicating as returns on the market go up, Radcom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Radcom will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Radcom has an alpha of 0.4078, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Radcom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Radcom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radcom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Radcom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.4310.7113.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8611.1414.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.9610.2413.51
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Radcom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Radcom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Radcom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Radcom.

Radcom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Radcom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Radcom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Radcom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Radcom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.74
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Radcom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Radcom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Radcom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radcom appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Radcom has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Estimate Radcom to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for - Yahoo Movies Canada

Radcom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Radcom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Radcom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radcom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.7 M

Radcom Technical Analysis

Radcom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Radcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Radcom. In general, you should focus on analyzing Radcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Radcom Predictive Forecast Models

Radcom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Radcom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Radcom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Radcom

Checking the ongoing alerts about Radcom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Radcom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radcom appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Radcom has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts Estimate Radcom to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for - Yahoo Movies Canada
When determining whether Radcom is a strong investment it is important to analyze Radcom's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Radcom's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Radcom Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Radcom Backtesting, Radcom Valuation, Radcom Correlation, Radcom Hype Analysis, Radcom Volatility, Radcom History as well as Radcom Performance.
To learn how to invest in Radcom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Radcom guide.
Note that the Radcom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Radcom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Radcom Stock analysis

When running Radcom's price analysis, check to measure Radcom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radcom is operating at the current time. Most of Radcom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radcom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radcom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radcom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Radcom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Radcom. If investors know Radcom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Radcom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.24
Revenue Per Share
3.418
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.14
Return On Assets
(0)
Return On Equity
0.0478
The market value of Radcom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Radcom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Radcom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Radcom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Radcom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Radcom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Radcom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Radcom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Radcom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.