Redfin Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.92
| RDFN Stock | USD 5.28 0.37 6.55% |
Closest to current price Redfin long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Redfin |
Redfin Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 58.92
The tendency of Redfin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 58.92 or more in 90 days |
| 5.28 | 90 days | 58.92 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redfin Corp to move over $ 58.92 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Redfin Corp probability density function shows the probability of Redfin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Redfin Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 5.28 and $ 58.92 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.19 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Redfin Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Redfin Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Redfin Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Redfin Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redfin Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Redfin Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Redfin Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redfin Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redfin Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redfin Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redfin Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.84 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 4.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Redfin Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redfin Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redfin Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Redfin Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Redfin Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 976.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 286.05 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The economy might be booming, but housing is in a recession Top real estate CEO says hes never seen anything like it in 20 years |
Redfin Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Redfin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Redfin Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Redfin Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 193 M |
Redfin Corp Technical Analysis
Redfin Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Redfin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Redfin Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Redfin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Redfin Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Redfin Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Redfin Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Redfin Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Redfin Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Redfin Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Redfin Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Redfin Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Redfin Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 976.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 286.05 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The economy might be booming, but housing is in a recession Top real estate CEO says hes never seen anything like it in 20 years |
Check out Redfin Corp Backtesting, Redfin Corp Valuation, Redfin Corp Correlation, Redfin Corp Hype Analysis, Redfin Corp Volatility, Redfin Corp History as well as Redfin Corp Performance. To learn how to invest in Redfin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Redfin Corp guide.Note that the Redfin Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Redfin Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for Redfin Stock analysis
When running Redfin Corp's price analysis, check to measure Redfin Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Redfin Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Redfin Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Redfin Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Redfin Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Redfin Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Redfin Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Redfin Corp. If investors know Redfin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Redfin Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.286 | Earnings Share (1.13) | Revenue Per Share 8.631 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets (0.1) |
The market value of Redfin Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Redfin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Redfin Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Redfin Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Redfin Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Redfin Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Redfin Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Redfin Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Redfin Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.