Regions Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.00

RF Stock  USD 19.00  0.14  0.74%   
Regions Financial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Regions Financial. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Regions Financial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Regions Financial over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $19.0 is a CALL option contract on Regions Financial's common stock with a strick price of 19.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-18 at 15:58:52 for $0.41 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.35, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 19th of April is 95.21. View All Regions options

Closest to current price Regions long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Regions Financial's future price is the expected price of Regions Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regions Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regions Financial Backtesting, Regions Financial Valuation, Regions Financial Correlation, Regions Financial Hype Analysis, Regions Financial Volatility, Regions Financial History as well as Regions Financial Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Regions Stock please use our How to Invest in Regions Financial guide.
  
At this time, Regions Financial's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to increase in the upcoming years. The Regions Financial's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.26, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is forecasted to increase to (1.01). Please specify Regions Financial's target price for which you would like Regions Financial odds to be computed.

Regions Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 19.00

The tendency of Regions Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.00 90 days 19.00 
about 48.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regions Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.25 (This Regions Financial probability density function shows the probability of Regions Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Regions Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Regions Financial has an alpha of 0.0248, implying that it can generate a 0.0248 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Regions Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regions Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regions Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regions Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.3718.9920.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6419.2620.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6918.3119.93
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.6119.3521.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Regions Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Regions Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Regions Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Regions Financial.

Regions Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regions Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regions Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regions Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regions Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Regions Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regions Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regions Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of April 2024 Regions Financial paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Regions Financial Might Surprise This Earnings Season.

Regions Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regions Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regions Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regions Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding938 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Regions Financial Technical Analysis

Regions Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regions Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regions Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regions Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regions Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Regions Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regions Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regions Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regions Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regions Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regions Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of April 2024 Regions Financial paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Regions Financial Might Surprise This Earnings Season.
When determining whether Regions Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Regions Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Regions Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Regions Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Regions Financial Backtesting, Regions Financial Valuation, Regions Financial Correlation, Regions Financial Hype Analysis, Regions Financial Volatility, Regions Financial History as well as Regions Financial Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Regions Stock please use our How to Invest in Regions Financial guide.
Note that the Regions Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Regions Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Regions Stock analysis

When running Regions Financial's price analysis, check to measure Regions Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regions Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Regions Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regions Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regions Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regions Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Regions Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regions Financial. If investors know Regions will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regions Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.88
Earnings Share
2.11
Revenue Per Share
7.501
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
Return On Assets
0.0135
The market value of Regions Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regions that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regions Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regions Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regions Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regions Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regions Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regions Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regions Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.