Rh Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 681.98

RH Stock  USD 296.99  10.71  3.74%   
RH's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on RH. Implied volatility approximates the future value of RH based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in RH over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $297.5 is a CALL option contract on RH's common stock with a strick price of 297.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:59:02 for $19.25 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $18.4, and an ask price of $19.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 316.58. View All RH options

Closest to current price RH long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

RH's future price is the expected price of RH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RH Backtesting, RH Valuation, RH Correlation, RH Hype Analysis, RH Volatility, RH History as well as RH Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in RH Stock please use our How to Invest in RH guide.
  
As of now, RH's Price To Book Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The RH's current Price Cash Flow Ratio is estimated to increase to 43.96, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 35.44. Please specify RH's target price for which you would like RH odds to be computed.

RH Target Price Odds to finish below 681.98

The tendency of RH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 681.98  after 90 days
 296.99 90 days 681.98 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RH to stay under $ 681.98  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This RH probability density function shows the probability of RH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RH price to stay between its current price of $ 296.99  and $ 681.98  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.74 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.07 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, RH will likely underperform. Additionally RH has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   RH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
294.64297.45300.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
267.29316.97319.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
286.63289.44292.24
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
313.52344.53382.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RH.

RH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.07
σ
Overall volatility
15.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

RH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: RH Q4 results miss estimates but company is upbeat on 2024 prospects

RH Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RH's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RH's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

RH Technical Analysis

RH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RH. In general, you should focus on analyzing RH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RH Predictive Forecast Models

RH's time-series forecasting models is one of many RH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RH

Checking the ongoing alerts about RH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: RH Q4 results miss estimates but company is upbeat on 2024 prospects
When determining whether RH offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of RH's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rh Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rh Stock:
Check out RH Backtesting, RH Valuation, RH Correlation, RH Hype Analysis, RH Volatility, RH History as well as RH Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in RH Stock please use our How to Invest in RH guide.
Note that the RH information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other RH's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for RH Stock analysis

When running RH's price analysis, check to measure RH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RH is operating at the current time. Most of RH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is RH's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RH. If investors know RH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RH listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Earnings Share
9.48
Revenue Per Share
144.661
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.0511
The market value of RH is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RH's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RH's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RH's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RH's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.