Rogers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 271.22

ROG -  USA Stock  

USD 271.22  0.78  0.29%

Rogers Corp's future price is the expected price of Rogers Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rogers Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 2.58, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are forecasted to decline to 29.96.

Rogers Price Probability 

 
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Rogers Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Rogers Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Rogers Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Rogers Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-17 CALL at $270.0 is a CALL option contract on Rogers Corp's common stock with a strick price of 270.0 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-12-06 at 12:18:42 for $2.0 and, as of today, has 10 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $4.0. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 15.3808. View All Rogers options

Closest to current price Rogers long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Rogers Corp Backtesting, Rogers Corp Valuation, Rogers Corp Correlation, Rogers Corp Hype Analysis, Rogers Corp Volatility, Rogers Corp History as well as Rogers Corp Performance. Please specify Rogers Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Rogers Corp odds to be computed.
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Rogers Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 271.22

The tendency of Rogers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 271.22 90 days 271.22  about 9.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rogers Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.34 (This Rogers Corp probability density function shows the probability of Rogers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Rogers Corp has a beta of 0.83 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rogers Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rogers Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.4612, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Rogers Corp Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Rogers Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rogers Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rogers Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Rogers Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
268.33272.21276.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
244.87285.89289.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
265.04268.92272.80
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
277.00277.00277.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rogers Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rogers Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rogers Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Rogers Corp.

Rogers Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rogers Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rogers Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rogers Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rogers Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.46
β
Beta against DOW0.83
σ
Overall volatility
38.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Rogers Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rogers Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rogers Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rogers Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: ROGERS CORP Change in Directors or Principal Officers - marketscreener.com

Rogers Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rogers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rogers Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rogers Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.47%
Short Percent Of Float2.07%
Float Shares18.51M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day401.93k
Shares Short Prior Month342.98k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month286.58k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021

Rogers Corp Technical Analysis

Rogers Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rogers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rogers Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rogers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rogers Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Rogers Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Rogers Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Rogers Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rogers Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rogers Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rogers Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Rogers Corp Alerts

Rogers Corp Alerts and Suggestions

Rogers Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: ROGERS CORP Change in Directors or Principal Officers - marketscreener.com
Additionally, take a look at Rogers Corp Backtesting, Rogers Corp Valuation, Rogers Corp Correlation, Rogers Corp Hype Analysis, Rogers Corp Volatility, Rogers Corp History as well as Rogers Corp Performance. Note that the Rogers Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Rogers Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for Rogers Stock analysis

When running Rogers Corp price analysis, check to measure Rogers Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rogers Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Rogers Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rogers Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rogers Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rogers Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Rogers Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rogers Corp. If investors know Rogers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rogers Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Rogers Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rogers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rogers Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rogers Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rogers Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rogers Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rogers Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Rogers Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rogers Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.