Regal Beloit Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 171.24
| RRX Stock | USD 142.53 2.95 2.11% |
Closest to current price Regal long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Regal |
Regal Beloit Target Price Odds to finish below 171.24
The tendency of Regal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 171.24 after 90 days |
| 142.53 | 90 days | 171.24 | about 80.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regal Beloit to stay under $ 171.24 after 90 days from now is about 80.36 (This Regal Beloit probability density function shows the probability of Regal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regal Beloit price to stay between its current price of $ 142.53 and $ 171.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.52 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.1 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Regal Beloit will likely underperform. Additionally Regal Beloit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Regal Beloit Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Regal Beloit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regal Beloit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regal Beloit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Regal Beloit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regal Beloit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regal Beloit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regal Beloit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regal Beloit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Regal Beloit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regal Beloit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regal Beloit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Regal Beloit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.25 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (57.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.71 B. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2653 shares by Dubovoy Hugo Jr. of Regal Beloit at 176.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Regal Beloit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regal Beloit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regal Beloit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 574 M |
Regal Beloit Technical Analysis
Regal Beloit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regal Beloit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regal Beloit Predictive Forecast Models
Regal Beloit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regal Beloit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regal Beloit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Regal Beloit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Regal Beloit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regal Beloit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Regal Beloit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.25 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (57.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.71 B. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2653 shares by Dubovoy Hugo Jr. of Regal Beloit at 176.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Regal Stock Analysis
When running Regal Beloit's price analysis, check to measure Regal Beloit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regal Beloit is operating at the current time. Most of Regal Beloit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regal Beloit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regal Beloit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regal Beloit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.