Restaurant Group PLC Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.97

RSTGFDelisted Stock  USD 0.56  0.00  0.00%   
Restaurant Group's future price is the expected price of Restaurant Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Restaurant Group PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Restaurant Group's target price for which you would like Restaurant Group odds to be computed.

Restaurant Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.97

The tendency of Restaurant Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.97  after 90 days
 0.56 90 days 0.97 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Restaurant Group to stay under $ 0.97  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Restaurant Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Restaurant Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Restaurant Group PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 0.56  and $ 0.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Restaurant Group PLC has a beta of -0.34 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Restaurant Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Restaurant Group PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Restaurant Group PLC has an alpha of 0.3225, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Restaurant Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Restaurant Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Restaurant Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Restaurant Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.560.560.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.480.480.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Restaurant Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Restaurant Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Restaurant Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Restaurant Group PLC.

Restaurant Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Restaurant Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Restaurant Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Restaurant Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Restaurant Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Restaurant Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Restaurant Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Restaurant Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Restaurant Group PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Restaurant Group PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Restaurant Group PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has accumulated 318.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Restaurant Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Restaurant Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Restaurant Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Restaurant Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Restaurant to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Restaurant Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 636.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.4 M.
Over 81.0% of Restaurant Group shares are owned by institutional investors

Restaurant Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Restaurant Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Restaurant Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Restaurant Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding765 M

Restaurant Group Technical Analysis

Restaurant Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Restaurant Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Restaurant Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Restaurant Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Restaurant Group Predictive Forecast Models

Restaurant Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Restaurant Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Restaurant Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Restaurant Group PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Restaurant Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Restaurant Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Restaurant Group PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Restaurant Group PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Restaurant Group PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has accumulated 318.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Restaurant Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Restaurant Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Restaurant Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Restaurant Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Restaurant to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Restaurant Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 636.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.4 M.
Over 81.0% of Restaurant Group shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Restaurant Group PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Restaurant Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Restaurant Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Restaurant Group PLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Restaurant Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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