Multifactor Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.82

RTITX -  USA Fund  

USD 10.82  0.39  3.48%

Multifactor International's future price is the expected price of Multifactor International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multifactor International Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Additionally, take a look at Multifactor International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Multifactor International Correlation, Multifactor International Hype Analysis, Multifactor International Volatility, Multifactor International History as well as Multifactor International Performance. Please specify Multifactor International time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Multifactor International odds to be computed.
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Multifactor International Target Price Odds to finish over 10.82

The tendency of Multifactor Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.82 90 days 10.82  about 91.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multifactor International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.92 (This Multifactor International Equity probability density function shows the probability of Multifactor Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Multifactor International Equity has a beta of -0.28 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Multifactor International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Multifactor International Equity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Multifactor International is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Multifactor International Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Multifactor International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multifactor International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multifactor International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Multifactor International in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.9610.8211.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.129.9810.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.0010.8511.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7711.1411.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Multifactor International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Multifactor International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Multifactor International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Multifactor International.

Multifactor International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multifactor International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multifactor International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multifactor International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multifactor International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Multifactor International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multifactor International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multifactor International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multifactor International generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Multifactor International generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains 94.95% of its assets in stocks

Multifactor International Technical Analysis

Multifactor International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multifactor Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multifactor International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multifactor Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multifactor International Predictive Forecast Models

Multifactor International time-series forecasting models is one of many Multifactor International's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Multifactor International's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multifactor International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multifactor International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multifactor International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Multifactor International Alerts

Multifactor International Alerts and Suggestions

Multifactor International generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Multifactor International generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains 94.95% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Multifactor International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Multifactor International Correlation, Multifactor International Hype Analysis, Multifactor International Volatility, Multifactor International History as well as Multifactor International Performance. Note that the Multifactor International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Multifactor International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Multifactor Mutual Fund analysis

When running Multifactor International price analysis, check to measure Multifactor International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Multifactor International is operating at the current time. Most of Multifactor International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Multifactor International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Multifactor International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Multifactor International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Multifactor International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Multifactor International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Multifactor International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.