Barrett Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 33.08

SAOPX Fund  USD 23.23  0.04  0.17%   
Barrett Opportunity's future price is the expected price of Barrett Opportunity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Barrett Opportunity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Barrett Opportunity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Barrett Opportunity Correlation, Barrett Opportunity Hype Analysis, Barrett Opportunity Volatility, Barrett Opportunity History as well as Barrett Opportunity Performance.
  
Please specify Barrett Opportunity's target price for which you would like Barrett Opportunity odds to be computed.

Barrett Opportunity Target Price Odds to finish over 33.08

The tendency of Barrett Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 33.08  or more in 90 days
 23.23 90 days 33.08 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barrett Opportunity to move over $ 33.08  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Barrett Opportunity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Barrett Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barrett Opportunity price to stay between its current price of $ 23.23  and $ 33.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Barrett Opportunity has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Barrett Opportunity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barrett Opportunity Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barrett Opportunity Fund has an alpha of 0.0432, implying that it can generate a 0.0432 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Barrett Opportunity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Barrett Opportunity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barrett Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barrett Opportunity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6423.2323.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9123.9724.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.6323.2223.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0023.1923.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barrett Opportunity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barrett Opportunity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barrett Opportunity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Barrett Opportunity.

Barrett Opportunity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barrett Opportunity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barrett Opportunity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barrett Opportunity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barrett Opportunity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Barrett Opportunity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barrett Opportunity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barrett Opportunity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.99% of its assets in stocks

Barrett Opportunity Technical Analysis

Barrett Opportunity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barrett Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barrett Opportunity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barrett Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Barrett Opportunity Predictive Forecast Models

Barrett Opportunity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barrett Opportunity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barrett Opportunity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Barrett Opportunity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Barrett Opportunity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barrett Opportunity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.99% of its assets in stocks
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barrett Opportunity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barrett Opportunity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barrett Opportunity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.