Safeguard Scientifics Common Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.66
| SFEDelisted Stock | USD 0.46 0.19 29.23% |
Safeguard |
Safeguard Scientifics Target Price Odds to finish over 7.66
The tendency of Safeguard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 7.66 or more in 90 days |
| 0.46 | 90 days | 7.66 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safeguard Scientifics to move over $ 7.66 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Safeguard Scientifics Common probability density function shows the probability of Safeguard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safeguard Scientifics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.46 and $ 7.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Safeguard Scientifics has a beta of 0.91. This usually implies Safeguard Scientifics Common market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Safeguard Scientifics is expected to follow. Additionally Safeguard Scientifics Common has an alpha of 0.2309, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Safeguard Scientifics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Safeguard Scientifics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safeguard Scientifics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Safeguard Scientifics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Safeguard Scientifics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safeguard Scientifics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safeguard Scientifics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safeguard Scientifics Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safeguard Scientifics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Safeguard Scientifics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safeguard Scientifics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safeguard Scientifics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Safeguard Scientifics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Safeguard Scientifics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Safeguard Scientifics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Safeguard Scientifics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Safeguard Scientifics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Safeguard Scientifics Common has about 24.74 M in cash with (3.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Safeguard Scientifics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safeguard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safeguard Scientifics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safeguard Scientifics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.2 M |
Safeguard Scientifics Technical Analysis
Safeguard Scientifics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safeguard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safeguard Scientifics Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safeguard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Safeguard Scientifics Predictive Forecast Models
Safeguard Scientifics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Safeguard Scientifics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safeguard Scientifics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Safeguard Scientifics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Safeguard Scientifics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safeguard Scientifics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Safeguard Scientifics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Safeguard Scientifics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Safeguard Scientifics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Safeguard Scientifics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Safeguard Scientifics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Safeguard Scientifics Common has about 24.74 M in cash with (3.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the Safeguard Scientifics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Safeguard Scientifics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Other Consideration for investing in Safeguard Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Safeguard Scientifics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Safeguard Scientifics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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