Guggenheim Styleplus Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 27.52

SFEPX Fund  USD 21.68  0.06  0.28%   
Guggenheim Styleplus' future price is the expected price of Guggenheim Styleplus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Guggenheim Styleplus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Guggenheim Styleplus Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Guggenheim Styleplus Correlation, Guggenheim Styleplus Hype Analysis, Guggenheim Styleplus Volatility, Guggenheim Styleplus History as well as Guggenheim Styleplus Performance.
  
Please specify Guggenheim Styleplus' target price for which you would like Guggenheim Styleplus odds to be computed.

Guggenheim Styleplus Target Price Odds to finish over 27.52

The tendency of Guggenheim Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 27.52  or more in 90 days
 21.68 90 days 27.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guggenheim Styleplus to move over $ 27.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Guggenheim Styleplus probability density function shows the probability of Guggenheim Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guggenheim Styleplus price to stay between its current price of $ 21.68  and $ 27.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Styleplus has a beta of -0.0578. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Guggenheim Styleplus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Guggenheim Styleplus is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guggenheim Styleplus has an alpha of 0.1648, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guggenheim Styleplus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guggenheim Styleplus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guggenheim Styleplus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guggenheim Styleplus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0021.6822.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2120.8923.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.0221.7022.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6421.7021.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guggenheim Styleplus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guggenheim Styleplus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guggenheim Styleplus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guggenheim Styleplus.

Guggenheim Styleplus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guggenheim Styleplus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guggenheim Styleplus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guggenheim Styleplus , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guggenheim Styleplus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Guggenheim Styleplus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guggenheim Styleplus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guggenheim Styleplus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 19.95% of its assets in cash

Guggenheim Styleplus Technical Analysis

Guggenheim Styleplus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guggenheim Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guggenheim Styleplus . In general, you should focus on analyzing Guggenheim Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Guggenheim Styleplus Predictive Forecast Models

Guggenheim Styleplus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Guggenheim Styleplus' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guggenheim Styleplus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Guggenheim Styleplus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Styleplus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Styleplus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 19.95% of its assets in cash

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When running Guggenheim Styleplus' price analysis, check to measure Guggenheim Styleplus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guggenheim Styleplus is operating at the current time. Most of Guggenheim Styleplus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guggenheim Styleplus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guggenheim Styleplus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guggenheim Styleplus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Styleplus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guggenheim Styleplus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Styleplus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.