Virtus Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 30.01

SGACX -  USA Fund  

USD 30.01  0.24  0.79%

Virtus Sga's future price is the expected price of Virtus Sga instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Virtus Sga Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Additionally, take a look at Virtus Sga Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Virtus Sga Correlation, Virtus Sga Hype Analysis, Virtus Sga Volatility, Virtus Sga History as well as Virtus Sga Performance. Please specify Virtus Sga time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Virtus Sga odds to be computed.
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Virtus Sga Target Price Odds to finish over 30.01

The tendency of Virtus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.01 90 days 30.01  about 21.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virtus Sga to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.94 (This Virtus Sga Global probability density function shows the probability of Virtus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Virtus Sga has a beta of 0.094. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Virtus Sga average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Virtus Sga Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0505, implying that it can generate a 0.0505 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Virtus Sga Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Virtus Sga

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Sga Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Sga's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Virtus Sga in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
29.4230.0130.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
29.3329.9230.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
29.1529.7430.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.8130.0930.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Virtus Sga. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Virtus Sga's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Virtus Sga's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Virtus Sga Global.

Virtus Sga Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virtus Sga is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virtus Sga's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virtus Sga Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virtus Sga within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.05
β
Beta against DOW0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Virtus Sga Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virtus Sga for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virtus Sga Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Virtus Sga Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 96.76% of its assets in stocks

Virtus Sga Technical Analysis

Virtus Sga's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Virtus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Virtus Sga Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Virtus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Virtus Sga Predictive Forecast Models

Virtus Sga time-series forecasting models is one of many Virtus Sga's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Virtus Sga's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Virtus Sga Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Virtus Sga for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Virtus Sga Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Virtus Sga Alerts

Virtus Sga Alerts and Suggestions

Virtus Sga Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 96.76% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Virtus Sga Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Virtus Sga Correlation, Virtus Sga Hype Analysis, Virtus Sga Volatility, Virtus Sga History as well as Virtus Sga Performance. Note that the Virtus Sga Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Virtus Sga's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Virtus Mutual Fund analysis

When running Virtus Sga Global price analysis, check to measure Virtus Sga's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virtus Sga is operating at the current time. Most of Virtus Sga's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virtus Sga's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virtus Sga's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virtus Sga to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus Sga's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Virtus Sga value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus Sga's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.