Shaw Communications Class Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.18

SJRDelisted Stock  USD 30.18  0.16  0.53%   
Shaw Communications' future price is the expected price of Shaw Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shaw Communications Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
  
Please specify Shaw Communications' target price for which you would like Shaw Communications odds to be computed.

Shaw Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 30.18

The tendency of Shaw Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.18 90 days 30.18 
roughly 2.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shaw Communications to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.35 (This Shaw Communications Class probability density function shows the probability of Shaw Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Shaw Communications has a beta of 0.15. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shaw Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shaw Communications Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shaw Communications Class has an alpha of 0.2148, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shaw Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shaw Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shaw Communications Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shaw Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.1830.1830.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2525.2533.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.4830.4830.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8028.8029.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shaw Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shaw Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shaw Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shaw Communications Class.

Shaw Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shaw Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shaw Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shaw Communications Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shaw Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Shaw Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shaw Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shaw Communications Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shaw Communications is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Shaw Communications has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 5.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.94, which is OK given its current industry classification. Shaw Communications Class has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Shaw Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Shaw Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Shaw Communications Class sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Shaw to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Shaw Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Shaw Communications shares are owned by institutional investors

Shaw Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shaw Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shaw Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shaw Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding501 M
Cash And Short Term Investments421 M

Shaw Communications Technical Analysis

Shaw Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shaw Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shaw Communications Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shaw Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shaw Communications Predictive Forecast Models

Shaw Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Shaw Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shaw Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shaw Communications Class

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shaw Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shaw Communications Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shaw Communications is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Shaw Communications has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 5.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.94, which is OK given its current industry classification. Shaw Communications Class has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Shaw Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Shaw Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Shaw Communications Class sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Shaw to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Shaw Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Shaw Communications shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Shaw Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Shaw Communications Class check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Shaw Communications' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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