Shimano Inc Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 14.92

SMNNY Stock  USD 14.92  0.13  0.88%   
Shimano's future price is the expected price of Shimano instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shimano Inc ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shimano Backtesting, Shimano Valuation, Shimano Correlation, Shimano Hype Analysis, Shimano Volatility, Shimano History as well as Shimano Performance.
  
Please specify Shimano's target price for which you would like Shimano odds to be computed.

Shimano Target Price Odds to finish over 14.92

The tendency of Shimano Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.92 90 days 14.92 
about 27.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shimano to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.52 (This Shimano Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Shimano Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Shimano will likely underperform. Additionally Shimano Inc ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Shimano Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shimano

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shimano Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shimano's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1014.9216.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9014.7216.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8314.6516.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2214.3515.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shimano. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shimano's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shimano's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shimano Inc ADR.

Shimano Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shimano is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shimano's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shimano Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shimano within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Shimano Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shimano for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shimano Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shimano Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Shimano Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shimano Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shimano's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shimano's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding927 M
Cash And Short Term Investments364.5 B

Shimano Technical Analysis

Shimano's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shimano Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shimano Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shimano Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shimano Predictive Forecast Models

Shimano's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shimano's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shimano's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shimano Inc ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shimano for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shimano Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shimano Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out Shimano Backtesting, Shimano Valuation, Shimano Correlation, Shimano Hype Analysis, Shimano Volatility, Shimano History as well as Shimano Performance.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for Shimano Pink Sheet analysis

When running Shimano's price analysis, check to measure Shimano's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shimano is operating at the current time. Most of Shimano's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shimano's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shimano's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shimano to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Shimano's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shimano is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shimano's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.