Sohucom Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.77

SOHU Stock  USD 10.58  0.01  0.09%   
SohuCom's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on SohuCom. Implied volatility approximates the future value of SohuCom based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in SohuCom over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on SohuCom's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 11:23:13 for $0.7 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.75, and an ask price of $0.9. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 44.41. View All SohuCom options

Closest to current price SohuCom long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

SohuCom's future price is the expected price of SohuCom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SohuCom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SohuCom Backtesting, SohuCom Valuation, SohuCom Correlation, SohuCom Hype Analysis, SohuCom Volatility, SohuCom History as well as SohuCom Performance.
For more information on how to buy SohuCom Stock please use our How to Invest in SohuCom guide.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -11.71 in 2024. Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.54 in 2024. Please specify SohuCom's target price for which you would like SohuCom odds to be computed.

SohuCom Target Price Odds to finish below 15.77

The tendency of SohuCom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 15.77  after 90 days
 10.58 90 days 15.77 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SohuCom to stay under $ 15.77  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SohuCom probability density function shows the probability of SohuCom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SohuCom price to stay between its current price of $ 10.58  and $ 15.77  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SohuCom will likely underperform. Additionally SohuCom has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   SohuCom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SohuCom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SohuCom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SohuCom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2710.5412.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9912.2614.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.1610.4312.70
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.1117.7019.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SohuCom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SohuCom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SohuCom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SohuCom.

SohuCom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SohuCom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SohuCom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SohuCom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SohuCom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

SohuCom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SohuCom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SohuCom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 542.36 M.
SohuCom currently holds about 1.19 B in cash with (25.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
SohuCom has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Sohu.com Limited Announces its 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F is Available on the Companys Website

SohuCom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SohuCom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SohuCom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SohuCom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments963.5 M

SohuCom Technical Analysis

SohuCom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SohuCom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SohuCom. In general, you should focus on analyzing SohuCom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SohuCom Predictive Forecast Models

SohuCom's time-series forecasting models is one of many SohuCom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SohuCom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SohuCom

Checking the ongoing alerts about SohuCom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SohuCom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 542.36 M.
SohuCom currently holds about 1.19 B in cash with (25.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
SohuCom has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Sohu.com Limited Announces its 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-F is Available on the Companys Website
When determining whether SohuCom is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if SohuCom Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Sohucom Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Sohucom Stock:
Check out SohuCom Backtesting, SohuCom Valuation, SohuCom Correlation, SohuCom Hype Analysis, SohuCom Volatility, SohuCom History as well as SohuCom Performance.
For more information on how to buy SohuCom Stock please use our How to Invest in SohuCom guide.
Note that the SohuCom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SohuCom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Complementary Tools for SohuCom Stock analysis

When running SohuCom's price analysis, check to measure SohuCom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SohuCom is operating at the current time. Most of SohuCom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SohuCom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SohuCom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SohuCom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SohuCom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SohuCom. If investors know SohuCom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SohuCom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
Earnings Share
(1.93)
Revenue Per Share
17.61
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of SohuCom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SohuCom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SohuCom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SohuCom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SohuCom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SohuCom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SohuCom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SohuCom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SohuCom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.