SOLARA ACTIVE (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1662.45

SOLARA -  India Stock  

INR 1,434  193.55  11.89%

SOLARA ACTIVE's future price is the expected price of SOLARA ACTIVE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

SOLARA Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, take a look at SOLARA ACTIVE Backtesting, SOLARA ACTIVE Valuation, SOLARA ACTIVE Correlation, SOLARA ACTIVE Hype Analysis, SOLARA ACTIVE Volatility, SOLARA ACTIVE History as well as SOLARA ACTIVE Performance. Please specify SOLARA ACTIVE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SOLARA ACTIVE odds to be computed.
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SOLARA ACTIVE Target Price Odds to finish over 1662.45

The tendency of SOLARA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1,662  or more in 90 days
 1,434 90 days 1,662  about 70.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOLARA ACTIVE to move over  1,662  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.85 (This SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR probability density function shows the probability of SOLARA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR price to stay between its current price of  1,434  and  1,662  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR has a beta of -0.0898. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding SOLARA ACTIVE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR is significantly underperforming DOW.
 SOLARA ACTIVE Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for SOLARA ACTIVE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SOLARA ACTIVE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SOLARA ACTIVE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1,4311,4341,437
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1,2741,2761,578
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1,4411,4431,446
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,4001,5441,689
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SOLARA ACTIVE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SOLARA ACTIVE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SOLARA ACTIVE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR.

SOLARA ACTIVE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOLARA ACTIVE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOLARA ACTIVE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOLARA ACTIVE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.07
β
Beta against DOW-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
38.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

SOLARA ACTIVE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SOLARA ACTIVE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SOLARA ACTIVE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SOLARA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SOLARA ACTIVE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SOLARA ACTIVE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.00
Float Shares14.8M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day70.46k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month105.83k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.12%

SOLARA ACTIVE Technical Analysis

SOLARA ACTIVE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOLARA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOLARA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SOLARA ACTIVE Predictive Forecast Models

SOLARA ACTIVE time-series forecasting models is one of many SOLARA ACTIVE's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary SOLARA ACTIVE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR

Checking the ongoing alerts about SOLARA ACTIVE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

SOLARA ACTIVE Alerts

SOLARA ACTIVE Alerts and Suggestions

SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, take a look at SOLARA ACTIVE Backtesting, SOLARA ACTIVE Valuation, SOLARA ACTIVE Correlation, SOLARA ACTIVE Hype Analysis, SOLARA ACTIVE Volatility, SOLARA ACTIVE History as well as SOLARA ACTIVE Performance. Note that the SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SOLARA ACTIVE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Other Tools for SOLARA Stock

When running SOLARA ACTIVE PHAR price analysis, check to measure SOLARA ACTIVE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SOLARA ACTIVE is operating at the current time. Most of SOLARA ACTIVE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SOLARA ACTIVE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SOLARA ACTIVE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SOLARA ACTIVE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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