Special Opportunities Closed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 12.16
SPE Fund | USD 12.16 0.20 1.62% |
Special |
Special Opportunities Target Price Odds to finish over 12.16
The tendency of Special Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
12.16 | 90 days | 12.16 | about 51.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Special Opportunities to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.29 (This Special Opportunities Closed probability density function shows the probability of Special Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Special Opportunities has a beta of 0.53. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Special Opportunities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Special Opportunities Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Special Opportunities Closed has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Special Opportunities Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Special Opportunities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Special Opportunities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Special Opportunities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Special Opportunities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Special Opportunities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Special Opportunities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Special Opportunities Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Special Opportunities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Special Opportunities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Special Opportunities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Special Opportunities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Latest headline from news.google.com: SPE A Diversified Fund Trading At A Significant Discount - Seeking Alpha |
Special Opportunities Technical Analysis
Special Opportunities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Special Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Special Opportunities Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Special Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Special Opportunities Predictive Forecast Models
Special Opportunities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Special Opportunities' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Special Opportunities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Special Opportunities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Special Opportunities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Special Opportunities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: SPE A Diversified Fund Trading At A Significant Discount - Seeking Alpha |
Check out Special Opportunities Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Special Opportunities Correlation, Special Opportunities Hype Analysis, Special Opportunities Volatility, Special Opportunities History as well as Special Opportunities Performance. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.